Match Info

RUSSIA: MHL

Date: 1 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: Balashikha Arena (Balashikha)


	Russkie Vityazi		Krasnaya Armiya

	1	X	2
	4.49	4.73	1.55
	4.84	5.05	1.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.67 ↑ (4.45)	4.89 ↑ (4.7)	1.52 ↓ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Russkie Vityazi
19.9%

Draw
19%

Krasnaya Armiya
61.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21%

19.9%

59.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

19.6%

60%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Russkie Vityazi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Krasnaya Armiya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Russkie Vityazi than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krasnaya Armiya than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Russkie Vityazi - Krasnaya Armiya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

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Lineups

Line 1
32. Smirnov L. (G)	64. Andreyanov P. (G)
29. Vanin G. (C)	29. Filippov A.
19. Malorosiyanov D.	88. Stanislavskiy D.
62. Marchenko T.	91. Pautov I.
11. Ilyichyov M.	74. Frolov N. A. (A)
97. Detkov I. (A)	69. Maistrenko O. (C)
Line 2
45. Redyuk G.	65. Pestretsov B.
25. Machugin D.	28. Patrikhayev I.
81. Sulima V.	54. Ovcharov N.
49. Soshnikov A.	4. Dontsov A. (A)
99. Saranov P.	52. Poroshkov D.
Line 3
92. Ignatov N.	92. Venskel M.
12. Istomin L.	51. Yelsukov F.
89. Khvatov M.	50. Okunev I.
85. Drozdov V.	41. Aubakirov R.
8. Shuvalov N.	84. Lagoda G.
Line 4
76. Fomenko Z. (A)	85. Adamov Y.
70. Kryuk S.	67. Yesipov N.
17. Sklyarenko A.	37. Matveiko Y.
47. Krayushkin M.	36. Filippov A. A.
22. Shokhin A.
Substitutes
42. Malkov Y. (G)	90. Obvintsev T. (G)
	16. Zaitsev M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
15:28, 0 - 1, Okunev I. (G), Ovcharov N. (A), Pestretsov B. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
00:54, 0 - 2, Okunev I. (G), Frolov N. A. (A), Stanislavskiy D. (A2)
14:14, 1 - 2, Soshnikov A. (G), Shuvalov N. (A), Saranov P. (A2)
16:35, 1 - 3, Poroshkov D. (G), Filippov A. A. (A), Aubakirov R. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
18:58, 2 - 3, Marchenko T. (G), Soshnikov A. (A), Ilyichyov M. (A2)

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Russkie Vityazi won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Krasnaya Armiya could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Russkie Vityazi have a series of home games.

In this match Krasnaya Armiya is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Russkie Vityazi won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 17 matches and goals 40:72 (average 2:3.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Russkie Vityazi won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 22:38 (average 2:3.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Russkie Vityazi
MHL
30.09.24	Russkie Vityazi - Krasnaya Armiya	4:2 ✺
25.09.24	Russkie Vityazi - Almaz	4:2 ✺
22.09.24	Russkie Vityazi - Loko	5:6 ✺
19.09.24	Russkie Vityazi - Dinamo St. Petersburg	3:5 ✺
16.09.24	Russkie Vityazi - SKA-1946	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWLLL
- Krasnaya Armiya
MHL
30.09.24	Russkie Vityazi - Krasnaya Armiya	4:2 ✺
25.09.24	Krasnaya Armiya - Dinamo St. Petersburg	2:3 penalties ✺
22.09.24	Krasnaya Armiya - SKA-1946	2:3 ✺
15.09.24	Almaz - Krasnaya Armiya	0:7 ✺
13.09.24	Loko - Krasnaya Armiya	5:6 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

MHL
30.09.24	Russkie Vityazi - Krasnaya Armiya	4:2
07.11.23	Russkie Vityazi - Krasnaya Armiya	3:1
20.10.23	Krasnaya Armiya - Russkie Vityazi	5:2
24.11.22	Krasnaya Armiya - Russkie Vityazi	4:3 OT
23.11.22	Krasnaya Armiya - Russkie Vityazi	3:0
22.10.22	Russkie Vityazi - Krasnaya Armiya	1:4
21.10.22	Russkie Vityazi - Krasnaya Armiya	4:5 penalties

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