Ryazan - Neftyanik Almetyevsk: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • VHL - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Date: 16 April 2026, Thursday
  • Location: Dvorana Sporta (Ryazan)
  • Ryazan Neftyanik Almetyevsk
    Ryazan Neftyanik Almetyevsk
    1 X 2
    Bet_in_Asia 3.56 4.13 1.83
    BetNow 3.37 4.05 1.91 Watch and Bet Watch
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.47
    (2.56)
    4.09
    (3.84)
    1.87
    (2.38)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

    • The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Ryazan
    27%
    Draw
    22.9%
    Neftyanik Almetyevsk
    50.1%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    36.5% 24.3% 39.2%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    40.1% 26.7% 35.7%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ryazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ryazan's form might have worsened.
  • Neftyanik Almetyevsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Neftyanik Almetyevsk's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryazan than the current prediction. (+13.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ryazan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftyanik Almetyevsk than the current prediction. (-14.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Neftyanik Almetyevsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • banner

    Predictions

  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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    Lineups

    Line 1
      1. RussiaDolgov S. (G)
    73. RussiaNazarov Y. (G)
    51. RussiaKramarenko Y.
    49. RussiaKhamidullin D. (C)
    35. RussiaAlyayev A.
    38. RussiaGaraishin I.
    11. RussiaRakhimullin D.
    59. RussiaTerekhov S.
    38. RussiaShipov I. (A)
    50. RussiaKomkov D.
    13. RussiaKorostelyov M.
      9. RussiaBykov M.
    Line 2
    88. RussiaFaizullin A.
    97. RussiaMyasishchev I.
    17. RussiaTrishin A.
    90. RussiaSumin A. (A)
    23. RussiaAlexeyev Y.
    10. RussiaBrovkin A.
    87. RussiaMingaleyev D. (A)
    63. RussiaPlatonov Y.
    27. RussiaKazakov M.
    88. RussiaBulatov A.
    Line 3
      4. RussiaShalapov Y.
    55. RussiaSemyonov G.
      5. RussiaDedov G.
    75. RussiaIonov S.
    33. RussiaKabanov M.
    32. RussiaYakupov R.
    25. RussiaMeshcheryakov M.
    70. RussiaBoychuk D.
      7. RussiaGimatov E. (C)
    71. RussiaShakirov R.
    Line 4
    58. RussiaZolkin R.
    85. RussiaKurbanov A.
    73. RussiaLeshchenko V.
    98. RussiaAvramenko I.
    24. RussiaAkhunov T.
    19. RussiaKhlopotov V. (A)
    43. RussiaYakovlev D.
    13. RussiaZamaltdinov R.
    Substitutes
    30. RussiaKorzin Y. (G)
    26. RussiaGiniyatullin R.
    37. RussiaNosov G. (G)

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Period (0 - 0)
    • 2nd Period (0 - 0)
    • 3rd Period (1 - 2)
    • 01:57, 0 - 1, Avramenko I. (G), Yakupov R. (A), Sumin A. (A2)
    • 05:40, 1 - 1, Kazakov M. (G), Meshcheryakov M. (A), Trishin A. (A2)
    • 07:01, 1 - 2, Shakirov R. (G), Yakupov R. (A), Boychuk D. (A2)

    Preview

  • Almetyevsk (VHL) leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ryazan won 1.
  • In recent matches, Ryazan has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
  • Neftyanik Almetyevsk is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
  • Ryazan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ryazan won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 40:61. (average 2:3.1).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Ryazan won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:22. (average 1.9:2.4).
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    Last Results with these Odds

    Neftyanik Almetyevsk - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 39.22%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

    Form
    - easy match; - difficult match;
    - HC Ryazan
    VHL
    14.04.26 Ryazan - Neftyanik Almetyevsk 3:4
    11.04.26 Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Ryazan 4:3
    09.04.26 Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Ryazan 4:5
    04.04.26 Rubin Tyumen - Ryazan 2:4
    02.04.26 Ryazan - Rubin Tyumen 3:2 OT
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9
    LLWWW
    - Neftyanik Almetyevsk
    VHL
    14.04.26 Ryazan - Neftyanik Almetyevsk 3:4
    11.04.26 Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Ryazan 4:3
    09.04.26 Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Ryazan 4:5
    03.04.26 Dizel Penza - Neftyanik Almetyevsk 1:4
    01.04.26 Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Dizel Penza 3:0
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5
    WWLWW
    Latest Head to Head
    VHL
    14.04.26 Ryazan - Neftyanik Almetyevsk 3:4
    11.04.26 Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Ryazan 4:3
    09.04.26 Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Ryazan 4:5
    30.01.26 Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Ryazan 5:2
    25.10.25 Ryazan - Neftyanik Almetyevsk 1:3
    03.02.25 Ryazan - Neftyanik Almetyevsk 3:2
    19.10.24 Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Ryazan 1:2 OT
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