Match Info

VHL

Date: 18 September 2025, Thursday

Location: Dvorana Sporta (Ryazan)


	Ryazan		Chelmet

	1	X	2
	1.87	4.01	3.51
	1.92	4	3.36	Watch
	1.83	4.25	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.81)	4.09 ↑ (3.8)	3.49 ↓ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryazan
50.1%

Draw
23%

Chelmet
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

24.7%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

23.4%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Chelmet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryazan than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelmet than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Ryazan - Chelmet Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
98. Lubsky M. (G)	40. Sherstnev S. (G)
4. Shalapov Y.	42. Yusupov V.
17. Trishin A.	79. Savelyev A.
71. Aliyev R.	29. Mokin M. (A)
87. Mingaleyev D.	37. Mits Z.
7. Gimatov E.	14. Zinovyev I. (C)
Line 2
57. Sevostyanov A.	18. Mikanovich D.
18. Pautov Y.	43. Rodionov M.
23. Alexeyev Y.	33. Rykmanov A.
10. Krikunenko R.	57. Telegin N.
72. Pereskokov V.	10. Nizameev A.
Line 3
88. Faizullin A.	48. Pronichkin A.
5. Dedov G.	22. Filatov A.
13. Korostelyov M.	98. Kolodiy L.
19. Kozlov G.	23. Shcheglov M.
22. Lapin A.	97. Matyushin A.
Line 4
9. Sidnev K.	17. Yekimov N.
73. Leshchenko V.	77. Tertyshny A.
32. Nosachyov B.	16. Shen A.
11. Rakhimullin D.	67. Shchekoldin K.
	46. Shaveko V. (A)
Substitutes
80. Smirnov L. (G)	30. Utenkov D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
05:01, 1 - 0, Kozlov G. (G), Korostelyov M. (A), Shalapov Y. (A2)
13:12, 1 - 1, Nizameev A. (G), Rodionov M. (A),
15:38, 2 - 1, Shalapov Y. (G), Pereskokov V. (A), Alexeyev Y. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
19:39, 3 - 1, Pautov Y. (G), Aliyev R. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ryazan won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Chelmet has had a series of home games.

Ryazan will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ryazan won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 32:45. (average 1.6:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Ryazan won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:23. (average 1.6:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Ryazan
VHL
16.09.25	Ryazan - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	2:4 ✺
14.09.25	Ryazan - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	1:3 ✺
09.09.25	Torpedo-Gorky - Ryazan	2:3 ✺
07.09.25	Khimik - Ryazan	5:2 ✺
05.09.25	Zvezda Moscow - Ryazan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LLWLW
- HC Chelmet
VHL
16.09.25	AKM - Chelmet	5:4 OT ✺
12.09.25	Chelmet - Izhstal	3:1 ✺
10.09.25	Chelmet - Toros Neftekamsk	4:2 ✺
08.09.25	Chelmet - Molot Perm	1:3 ✺
06.09.25	Chelmet - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
09.01.25	Ryazan - Chelmet	1:3
06.11.24	Chelmet - Ryazan	0:1
16.01.24	Chelmet - Ryazan	1:0 penalties
05.10.23	Ryazan - Chelmet	1:4
04.12.22	Ryazan - Chelmet	3:2 penalties
10.11.22	Chelmet - Ryazan	2:3 penalties
30.11.21	Ryazan - Chelmet	1:2

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