The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rögle 44%
Draw 23.5%
Brynäs 32.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.2%
22.3%
33.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.1%
22.2%
33.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rögle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Brynäs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rögle than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brynäs than the current prediction. (+1%)
Rögle - Brynäs Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
65. Rifalk C. (G)
45. Clara D. (G)
95. Friedman M.
29. Andersson A.
16. Ekestahl-Jonsson L.
14. Hagg R.
18. Everberg D. (A)
33. Silfverberg J.
28. Bengtsson A. (C)
10. Larsson J. (C)
8. Sandin L.
8. Trivigno B.
Line 2
58. Johansson F.
53. Witkowski L.
44. de Haan C.
20. Vesel T.
67. Bristedt L. (A)
18. Rodin A. (A)
23. Dickinson J.
19. Backstrom N.
83. Kuhlman K.
23. Lindblom O.
Line 3
6. LaDue P.
28. Kinnvall J.
51. Sjalin C.
27. Norlinder M.
52. Nilsson F.
52. Kopacka J.
22. Olofsson F.
36. Olund L. (A)
62. Horky L.
81. Bellows K.
Line 4
45. Biber G.
15. Bertilsson S.
37. Sundsvik A.
41. Scott G.
41. Zether S.
38. Hillstrom G.
72. Zaar D.
71. Jonsson Fjallby A.
Substitutes
75. Holm A. (G)
61. Delia C. (G)
27. Sjodin L.
31. Kallgren E. (G)
22. Sundqvist L.
Coaches
. Tangnes D.
. Gallstedt N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
05:39, 0 - 1, Andersson A. (G), Silfverberg J. (A), Larsson J. (A2)
19:19, Rodin A. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
10:40, 1 - 1, LaDue P. (G), Sjalin C. (A), Olofsson F. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
07:38, (2 min),
12:54, 1 - 2, Lindblom O. (G), Andersson A. (A), Hagg R. (A2)
18:15, 2 - 2, Kuhlman K. (G), Bengtsson A. (A), Zaar D. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (0 - 1)
1, Silfverberg J. (Penalty Shot),
1, Sandin L. (Penalty Shot),
2, Kopacka J. (Penalty Shot),
2, Zaar D. (Penalty Shot),
3, Kinnvall J. (Penalty Shot),
3, Nilsson F. (Penalty Shot),
4, Bellows K. (Penalty Shot),
4, Horky L. (Penalty Shot),
5, Lindblom O. (Penalty Shot),
5, Bristedt L. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ SHL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ SHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rögle won 2.
Rögle has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Brynäs is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Brynäs may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Rögle might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rögle won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 69:58. (average 3.5:2.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Rögle won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 44:28. (average 4.4:2.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Rögle - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 44.23%, but this team recently wins 35% of matches with these odds.