Match Info

Champions League - Round 4

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Catena Arena (Ängelholm)

Referee: Sewell J. (Gbr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Rögle		Tappara

	1	X	2
	1.85	4.00	3.10	Watch
	1.83	4.20	3.40
	1.90	4.00	3.50
	1.81	4.35	3.49
	1.79	4.47	3.53	Watch
	1.78	4.30	3.45
	1.80	4.33	3.61	Watch
	1.82	4.30	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.88)	4.24 ↑ (4.2)	3.43 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rögle
51%

Draw
21.9%

Tappara
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

22%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

23.2%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rögle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Tappara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rögle than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tappara than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Rögle - Tappara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
70. Clang C. (G)	77. Metsola J. (G)
44. de Haan C.	26. Mattila Je.
58. Johansson F.	23. Jokipakka J.
72. Zaar D.	88. Blichfeld J.
37. Sundsvik A.	22. Rasanen A. (A)
21. Jellvik O.	25. Haapala H.
Line 2
51. Sjalin C.	63. Tuulola J. (A)
6. LaDue P.	33. Strandell O.
62. Horky L.	11. Simontaival K.
22. Olofsson F. (A)	40. Sallinen T.
32. Solberg I.	93. Jarvela J.
Line 3
95. Friedman M.	72. Kulonummi K.
4. Clurman N.	38. Almari N.
41. Zether S.	41. Nykanen J.
28. Bengtsson A. (C)	89. Suvanto O.
18. Everberg D. (A)	87. Fabre D.
Line 4
17. Bartholdsson N.	94. Vanhatalo V.
7. Claesson L.	5. Rasanen I.
83. Kuhlman K.	28. Wia W.
46. Kellman J.	42. Rauhala O. (C)
8. Sandin L.	17. Pavel O.
Substitutes
75. Holm A. (G)	30. Heljanko C. (G)
Coaches
. Tangnes D.	. Jalonen K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
05:46, 1 - 0, Johansson F. (G), Zaar D. (A), de Haan C. (A2)
18:53, 2 - 0, Kellman J. (G), Clurman N. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
03:06, 3 - 0, Horky L. (G), Solberg I. (A),
03:25, 4 - 0, Jellvik O. (G), Claesson L. (A), Zaar D. (A2)
04:30, (2 min),
04:30, (2 min),
05:04, Clang C. ↓, Holm A. ↑,
12:21, Rasanen A. (2 min),
12:21, Rasanen A. (2 min),
19:09, Zaar D. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
03:16, Bartholdsson N. (2 min),

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Rögle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Rögle has had a series of away games.

Rögle might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Rögle won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:8. (average 2:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Rögle won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Outrights of Champions League Ice Hockey for now

Rogle: 8% Tappara: 5.35%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts	Pts
9	Rogle ✔	5	3	0	0	2	12:7	9	1.80
14	Tappara	5	2	0	2	1	13:15	8	1.60

Last Results with these Odds

Rögle - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 49.14%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rögle BK
Champions League Ice Hockey
11.09.26	Rögle - Red Bull Salzburg	5:0 ✺
05.09.26	Pardubice - Rögle	1:0 ✺
03.09.26	HC Plzeň 1929 - Rögle	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
27.08.26	HV71 - Rögle	2:3 penalties ✺
19.08.26	Växjö Lakers - Rögle	2:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLWW
- Tappara hockey
Champions League Ice Hockey
11.09.26	Växjö Lakers - Tappara	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Tappara - Kölner Haie	4:5 AET ✺
03.09.26	Tappara - Bílí Tygři Liberec	6:3 ✺
Finnish SM-liiga
01.09.26	SaiPa - Tappara	4:2 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
27.08.26	Tappara - Kärpät	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Champions League Ice Hockey
13.12.22	Tappara - Rögle	5:1
06.12.22	Rögle - Tappara	3:2
01.03.22	Rögle - Tappara	2:1

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