The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tappara 31.7%
Draw 24.3%
Ilves 43.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
41.7%
24.7%
33.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.7%
25.6%
34.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tappara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tappara's form might have worsened.
Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ilves's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tappara than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tappara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ilves, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
100%
0%
Tappara - Ilves Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
77. Metsola J. (G)
40. Armalis M. (G)
38. Almari N.
27. Strand A.
26. Mattila Je.
3. Utunen T.
11. Simontaival K.
29. Looke J.
89. Suvanto O.
92. Henman L. (A)
25. Haapala H.
44. Jarvinen J. (C)
Line 2
4. Kivisto T.
43. Latvala O.
23. Jokipakka J.
6. Sund T.
94. Vanhatalo V.
46. Torok M.
62. Mattila Ju. (A)
11. Borg E. (A)
87. Fabre D.
22. Engberg T.
Line 3
63. Tuulola J. (A)
28. Nyberg J.
43. Karvonen J.
57. Parikka J.
41. Nykanen J.
67. Haatanen A.
40. Sallinen T.
71. Korhonen B.
51. Jarventie E.
25. Hynninen T.
Line 4
28. Wia W.
38. Teuho-Markkola T.
42. Rauhala O. (C)
19. Lantta J.
17. Pavel O.
15. Kos O.
Substitutes
35. Makela A. (G)
86. Heikkinen I.
5. Rasanen I.
21. Kuukasjarvi R.
65. Rifalk C. (G)
Coaches
. Norrena F.
. Niemela T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
03:54, Latvala O. (2 min),
16:58, 0 - 1, Lantta J. (G), Kos O. (A), Teuho-Markkola T. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
03:38, Suvanto O. (2 min),
11:12, Kos O. (2 min),
11:23, Korhonen B. (2 min),
16:32, Lantta J. (5 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
09:09, Mattila Ju. (2 min),
19:04, 1 - 1, Sallinen T. (G), Mattila Je. (A), Pavel O. (A2)
19:58, Sund T. (2 min),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (1 - 2)
1, Fabre D. (Penalty Shot),
1, Torok M. (Penalty Shot),
2, Simontaival K. (Penalty Shot),
2, Haatanen A. (Penalty Shot),
3, Haapala H. (Penalty Shot),
3, Henman L. (Penalty Shot),
4, Torok M. (Penalty Shot),
4, Simontaival K. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 9th in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 5th in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tappara won 5.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Tappara could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Tappara has faced a series of away games on the road.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Tappara has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 48:55 (averaging 2.4:2.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tappara against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 22:23 goals (averaging 2.2:2.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
3
Ilves
19
9
3
1
6
51:39
34
10
Tappara
18
7
2
3
6
51:43
28
Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now
Tappara: 21.69%
Last Results with these Odds
Tappara - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.74%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.
Ilves - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 33.54%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.
Finland
Sweden
Watch
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Metsola J. (G) 
Armalis M. (G) 
Strand A. 
Looke J. 
Torok M. 
Fabre D. 
Pavel O. 
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