Match Info

RUSSIA: MHL

Date: 19 January 2023, Thursday


	SKA-Varyagi		Amurskie Tigry

	1	X	2
	3.9	4.4	1.57
	3.71	5.07	1.65
	5.05	5.15	1.45	Watch
	4.5	5	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.29 ↑ (2.85)	4.91 ↑ (4.5)	1.54 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SKA-Varyagi
21.5%

Draw
18.8%

Amurskie Tigry
59.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

20.8%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

20.2%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SKA-Varyagi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that SKA-Varyagi's form might have worsened.

Amurskie Tigry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Amurskie Tigry's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA-Varyagi than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SKA-Varyagi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amurskie Tigry than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Amurskie Tigry, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

SKA Varyagi - Amurskie Tigry Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches SKA-Varyagi won 0.

SKA-Varyagi is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Amurskie Tigry is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Amurskie Tigry could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently SKA-Varyagi have a series of home games.

In this match Amurskie Tigry is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Amurskie Tigry to win the game is with odds 1.59.

Last 17 head-to-head matches SKA-Varyagi won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 45-46.

Including matches at home between the teams SKA-Varyagi won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 22-25.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SKA-Varyagi
MHL
18.01.23	SKA-Varyagi - Amurskie Tigry	1:6 ✺
15.01.23	SKA-Varyagi - Sakhalinskie Akuly	2:3 ✺
14.01.23	SKA-Varyagi - Sakhalinskie Akuly	2:4 ✺
12.01.23	SKA-Varyagi - Tayfun	2:1 OT ✺
10.01.23	SKA-Varyagi - Tayfun	5:6 pen. ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLWL
- Amurskie Tigry
MHL
18.01.23	SKA-Varyagi - Amurskie Tigry	1:6 ✺
12.01.23	Amurskie Tigry - Dinamo-Shinnik	2:3 OT ✺
11.01.23	Amurskie Tigry - Dinamo-Shinnik	4:2 ✺
03.01.23	Sakhalinskie Akuly - Amurskie Tigry	3:5 ✺
03.01.23	Sakhalinskie Akuly - Amurskie Tigry	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

MHL
18.01.23	SKA-Varyagi - Amurskie Tigry	1:6
04.03.22	Amurskie Tigry - SKA-Varyagi	4:3 penalties
03.03.22	Amurskie Tigry - SKA-Varyagi	3:2
06.09.21	SKA-Varyagi - Amurskie Tigry	0:1
05.09.21	SKA-Varyagi - Amurskie Tigry	3:5
21.02.21	Amurskie Tigry - SKA-Varyagi	5:4
20.02.21	Amurskie Tigry - SKA-Varyagi	4:5 penalties

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