Match Info

Liiga

Date: 15 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Kisapuisto (Lappeenranta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Sweden	TV4 Play


	SaiPa		Kiekko-Espoo

	1	X	2
	2.01	4.25	2.85
	2.10	4.10	2.80
	2.08	4.00	3.00	Watch
	2.17	3.72	2.93
	2.14	3.93	2.89	Watch
	2.14	3.65	2.90
	2.12	4.20	2.84	Watch
	2.09	3.95	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (2.07)	3.98 ↑ (3.93)	2.88 ↓ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SaiPa
44.2%

Draw
23.4%

Kiekko-Espoo
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

23.7%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

25%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SaiPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Kiekko-Espoo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SaiPa than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kiekko-Espoo than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

SaiPa - Kiekko Espoo Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. SaiPa will win (votes: 1 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Piiroinen K. (G)	30. Rimpinen P. (G)
6. Airola S.	8. Corcoran C.
7. Niinisaari S. (C)	5. Aronsson A.
10. Emanuelsson E.	72. Svejkovsky L.
28. Intonen A.	24. Lajunen J. (A)
11. Fridrich P.	76. Sallinen J. (C)
Line 2
2. Peski A.	51. Nakyva K.
50. Salminen S. (A)	55. Kotkansalo K.
81. Klintrup E.	77. From M.
41. Zabaneh N.	15. King C.
52. Palmu P.	4. Kangasniemi I.
Line 3
14. Kramer B.	47. Lajunen V. (A)
55. Trejbal O.	3. Keskitalo M.
70. Naukkarinen J.	12. Oberg L.
34. Perttu M.	78. Tuomaala A.
75. Siikanen P.	28. Hamalainen J.
Line 4
17. Svensk V.	21. Peltomaki N.
22. Aho K.	14. Keinanen J.
62. Tauslahti M.	25. Puolanne E.
57. Hokkanen O.	17. Talvitie A.
92. Zezelj A.	16. Vaisanen J.
Substitutes
31. Grigals G. (G)	35. Rajaniemi S. (G)
Coaches
. Helminen R.	. Aho J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
01:44, Emanuelsson E. (2 min),
08:31, Emanuelsson E. (2 min),
12:35, 1 - 0, Niinisaari S. (G), Zabaneh N. (A), Palmu P. (A2)
18:31, Salminen S. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
00:55, 1 - 1, Vaisanen J. (G), Peltomaki N. (A), Rimpinen P. (A2)
02:55, Lajunen J. (2 min),
10:26, Oberg L. (2 min),
Overtime (1 - 0)
00:25, Corcoran C. (2 min),
02:02, 2 - 1, Palmu P. (G), Kramer B. (A), Perttu M. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SaiPa won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Kiekko-Espoo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Kiekko-Espoo has had a series of home games.

SaiPa could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that SaiPa will win today's game, with odds of 2.1.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, SaiPa won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:32. (average 2.7:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, SaiPa won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:20. (average 3.4:2.9).

Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now

Saipa: 4.11% Kiekko-Espoo: 3.85%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
7	Kiekko-Espoo	13	5	1	3	4	42:32	20

Last Results with these Odds

SaiPa - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 45.06%, but this team recently wins 53% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SaiPa hockey
Champions League Ice Hockey
12.09.26	SaiPa - Nitra	2:3 AET ✺
10.09.26	SaiPa - Pardubice	3:2 ✺
06.09.26	Herning Blue Fox - SaiPa	2:7 ✺
04.09.26	Frölunda - SaiPa	6:1 ✺
Finnish SM-liiga
01.09.26	SaiPa - Tappara	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWWLW
- Kiekko-Espoo
Finnish SM-liiga
09.09.26	Kiekko-Espoo - KooKoo	6:2 ✺
05.09.26	Kiekko-Espoo - Pelicans	1:2 ✺
01.09.26	Kiekko-Espoo - KalPa	5:1 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
27.08.26	Kiekko-Espoo - Växjö Lakers	1:3 ✺
26.08.26	Kiekko-Espoo - Växjö Lakers	2:3
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-liiga
31.01.26	SaiPa - Kiekko-Espoo	2:3 penalties
10.01.26	Kiekko-Espoo - SaiPa	3:4
29.11.25	SaiPa - Kiekko-Espoo	4:1
24.09.25	Kiekko-Espoo - SaiPa	4:2
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
22.08.25	SaiPa - Kiekko-Espoo	2:3 OT
09.08.25	SaiPa - Kiekko-Espoo	5:1
Finnish SM-liiga
12.02.25	Kiekko-Espoo - SaiPa	3:0

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