The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
SaiPa 43.6%
Draw 23.4%
JYP 33%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.9%
23.3%
34.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.8%
23.9%
35.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SaiPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
JYP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for SaiPa than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for JYP than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
SaiPa - JYP Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Piiroinen K. (G)
34. Setanen O. (G)
6. Airola S. (A)
44. Vatanen S.
22. Aho K.
31. Peltola E. (A)
10. Emanuelsson E.
17. Makinen O.
28. Intonen A.
28. Lassila J. (C)
11. Fridrich P.
92. Vidgren A.
Line 2
2. Peski A.
63. Bourque T.
50. Salminen S. (C)
3. Arola J.
92. Zezelj A.
39. Ojantakanen V.
57. Hokkanen O.
8. Newkirk R.
62. Tauslahti M.
82. Pesonen H. (A)
Line 3
14. Kramer B.
21. Vuontisvaara O.
55. Trejbal O.
32. Setkov M.
70. Naukkarinen J. (A)
14. Costmar A.
34. Perttu M.
7. True A.
52. Palmu P.
40. Torgersson D.
Line 4
17. Svensk V.
22. Vaisanen V.
18. Heikkila J.
24. Huttu E.
41. Zabaneh N.
16. Liljamo T.
81. Klintrup E.
43. Jaatinen O.
27. Korjus J.
Substitutes
31. Grigals G. (G)
35. Salminen O. (G)
Coaches
. Helminen R.
. Matikainen P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
19:53, 1 - 0, Tauslahti M. (G), Aho K. (A), Airola S. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
05:25, Peltola E. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 2)
05:09, Vidgren A. (2 min),
11:21, 1 - 1, Bourque T. (G), True A. (A), Arola J. (A2)
14:39, 1 - 2, Lassila J. (G), Setkov M. (A),
16:59, Heikkila J. (2 min),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SaiPa won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
SaiPa may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Both teams have recently been through a demanding run of away matches.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, SaiPa has recorded 9 wins, 1 draw, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 65:72 (averaging 3.3:3.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for SaiPa against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses, with 35:43 goals (averaging 3.2:3.9 per game).