The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
HPK 33.7%
Draw 24.6%
Kiekko-Espoo 41.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
34.5%
25%
40.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.6%
26.5%
36.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Kiekko-Espoo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for HPK than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kiekko-Espoo than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
33.3%
66.7%
HPK - Kiekko Espoo Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Kiekko-Espoo will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
65. Crespin J. (G)
35. Rajaniemi S. (G)
6. Lehtonen O.
8. Corcoran C.
4. Jokirinne V.
51. Nakyva K.
11. de Jong E.
77. From M.
12. Paivarinta S. (C)
78. Tuomaala A.
10. Vesterinen R.
4. Kangasniemi I.
Line 2
5. Andzans A.
47. Lajunen V. (A)
16. Gabrielsson H.
3. Keskitalo M.
23. Kuusisto O.
12. Oberg L.
15. Korhonen O. (A)
15. King C.
21. Tedenby M.
28. Hamalainen J.
Line 3
91. Piipponen S.
55. Kotkansalo K.
7. Pyke G.
7. Jurmo J.
81. Oden J.
76. Sallinen J. (C)
64. Kainulainen H. (A)
71. Jarvinen M. (A)
95. Ranford B.
17. Talvitie A.
Line 4
34. Palola O.
90. Salovaara E.
8. Alitalo V.
24. Lajunen J.
44. Kopiloff O.
25. Puolanne E.
Substitutes
93. Makinen I.
14. Keinanen J.
1. Saarinen K. (G)
21. Peltomaki N.
38. Wallenius E.
30. Rimpinen P. (G)
Coaches
. Manner M.
. Aho J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 2)
04:44, 0 - 1, Tuomaala A. (G), Sallinen J. (A), Corcoran C. (A2)
11:36, Jurmo J. (2 min),
17:04, 0 - 2, King C. (G), Hamalainen J. (A), Lajunen V. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
03:26, Kopiloff O. (2 min),
13:49, Ranford B. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 2)
00:23, Sallinen J. (2 min),
08:29, Salovaara E. (5 min),
16:06, 1 - 2, Kainulainen H. (G), Oden J. (A), Ranford B. (A2)
18:24, 1 - 3, King C. (G), Oberg L. (A), Lajunen V. (A2)
19:38, 1 - 4, Oberg L. (G),
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 14th and 10th in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HPK won 4.
Recent results have been tough for HPK (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Kiekko-Espoo has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, HPK has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:19 (averaging 3:2.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for HPK against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 18:9 goals (averaging 3.6:1.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
9
Kiekko-Espoo
19
7
2
3
7
58:49
28
14
Hameenlinna
19
5
3
0
11
39:55
21
Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now
Kiekko-Espoo: 2.94% Hameenlinna: 1.53%
Last Results with these Odds
HPK - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 34.51%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Finland
Sweden
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Crespin J. (G) 
Rajaniemi S. (G) 
Corcoran C. 
From M. 
Andzans A. 
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