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SaiPa vs KooKoo Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, February 21, 2026)

Match Info

Liiga

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Kisapuisto (Lappeenranta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Sweden	TV4 Play


	SaiPa		KooKoo

	1	X	2
	2.4	4.2	2.45
	2.7	4.05	2.3	Watch
	2.4	3.65	2.54
	2.61	3.88	2.36	Watch
	2.38	3.75	2.3
	2.54	4.25	2.28	Watch
	2.15	3.85	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.31)	3.95 ↑ (3.73)	2.45 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SaiPa
38.1%

Draw
23.7%

KooKoo
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

25.2%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

24.7%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SaiPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

KooKoo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SaiPa than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KooKoo than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. SaiPa will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. KooKoo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Lineups

Line 1
33. Karhunen T. (G)	34. Randelin E. (G)
50. Salminen S. (A)	43. Loponen K.
26. Kivihalme T.	41. Berger J.
25. Kuusla E.	82. Meskanen V.
15. Salomaki M.	71. Siikonen M. (A)
51. Kalapudas A.	88. Rooba R. (A)
Line 2
14. Kramer B.	28. Ahlroth J.
55. Trejbal O.	42. Suomi J.
41. Fortier M.	55. Gallo V.
82. Nikkanen H.	70. Davidsson M.
10. Kivenmaki O.	24. Miettinen V.
Line 3
6. Airola S.	17. Grondahl A.
7. Niinisaari S. (C)	6. Riekkinen J.
75. Siikanen P.	11. Mazura T.
12. Bau S.	13. Paajanen O. (C)
70. Naukkarinen J.	22. Luoto O.
Line 4
22. Aho K.	77. Puhakka V.
81. Klintrup E.	18. Oden J.
21. Appelgren N. (A)	20. Valkeejarvi S.
18. Heikkila J.	15. Jaakola O.
Substitutes
31. Grigals G. (G)	32. Jatkola J. (G)
Coaches
. Helminen R.	. Myrra J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
03:28, Loponen K. (2 min),
05:13, 1 - 0, Kivihalme T. (G), Kalapudas A. (A), Salomaki M. (A2)
06:43, Airola S. (2 min),
10:29, Meskanen V. (2 min),
14:35, Rooba R. (2 min),
16:55, (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 2)
01:15, Kuusla E. (Penalty Shot),
02:18, 1 - 1, Paajanen O. (G), Mazura T. (A), Luoto O. (A2)
03:52, 2 - 1, Fortier M. (G), Kivenmaki O. (A),
06:05, 2 - 2, Oden J. (G), Jaakola O. (A),
07:07, 3 - 2, Salomaki M. (G), Kramer B. (A), Kivenmaki O. (A2)
12:59, Siikonen M. (2 min),
14:08, Miettinen V. (2 min),
3rd Period (3 - 0)
04:36, Appelgren N. (2 min),
07:31, 4 - 2, Nikkanen H. (G), Salminen S. (A), Kuusla E. (A2)
11:49, Berger J. (2 min),
15:57, 5 - 2, Salomaki M. (G), Fortier M. (A), Kivenmaki O. (A2)
17:20, Niinisaari S. (2 min),
18:41, 6 - 2, Heikkila J. (G), Appelgren N. (A), Trejbal O. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SaiPa won 2.

SaiPa has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

KooKoo is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

KooKoo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, KooKoo has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, SaiPa won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 56:65. (average 2.8:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, SaiPa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:34. (average 2.4:3.8).

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Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now

KooKoo: 12.01% Saipa: 3.14%

Last Results with these Odds

SaiPa - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 40.65%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

KooKoo - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 34.14%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SaiPa hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
15.02.26	Ässät - SaiPa	3:4 OT ✺
14.02.26	SaiPa - HIFK	5:3 ✺
11.02.26	SaiPa - Ässät	4:0 ✺
08.02.26	Vaasan Sport - SaiPa	0:4 ✺
07.02.26	Vaasan Sport - SaiPa	2:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWWW
- KooKoo
Finnish SM-liiga
18.02.26	KooKoo - Kärpät	4:3 ✺
14.02.26	HPK - KooKoo	2:4 ✺
13.02.26	KooKoo - HPK	7:3 ✺
10.02.26	KooKoo - Vaasan Sport	4:1 ✺
07.02.26	KooKoo - Lukko	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-liiga
05.01.26	KooKoo - SaiPa	3:4
03.01.26	SaiPa - KooKoo	2:3 penalties
14.11.25	KooKoo - SaiPa	4:1
13.09.25	KooKoo - SaiPa	4:6
12.09.25	SaiPa - KooKoo	2:4
15.03.25	SaiPa - KooKoo	2:1
04.01.25	KooKoo - SaiPa	3:2 OT

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