Match Info

Liiga

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Kisapuisto (Lappeenranta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Sweden	TV4 Play


	SaiPa		KooKoo

	1	X	2
	1.68	4.75	3.6
	1.67	4.50	3.90
	1.78	4.3	3.85	Watch
	1.74	4.39	3.72
	1.7	4.52	3.86	Watch
	1.7	4.3	3.6
	1.7	4.65	3.86	Watch
	1.69	4.3	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.85)	4.46 ↑ (4.13)	3.77 ↑ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SaiPa
54.5%

Draw
20.8%

KooKoo
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

22.6%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

23.6%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SaiPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

KooKoo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SaiPa than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SaiPa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KooKoo than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

SaiPa - KooKoo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Piiroinen K. (G)	34. Randelin E. (G)
6. Airola S.	3. Pelli A.
7. Niinisaari S. (C)	39. Nousiainen K. (A)
10. Emanuelsson E.	82. Meskanen V.
28. Intonen A.	71. Siikonen M. (C)
11. Fridrich P.	24. Miettinen V.
Line 2
2. Peski A.	17. Grondahl A.
50. Salminen S. (A)	8. Pakaslahti A.
81. Klintrup E.	10. Sulku S.
41. Zabaneh N.	25. Holmstrom A.
52. Palmu P.	15. Jaakola O.
Line 3
14. Kramer B.	77. Puhakka V.
55. Trejbal O.	4. Nykyri N.
70. Naukkarinen J.	88. Rooba R. (A)
34. Perttu M.	20. Valkeejarvi S.
75. Siikanen P.	55. Gallo V.
Line 4
17. Svensk V.	6. Riekkinen J.
22. Aho K.	7. Parssinen J.
62. Tauslahti M.	58. Makela M.
57. Hokkanen O.	27. Makinen A.
92. Zezelj A.	72. Tossavainen R.
Substitutes
31. Grigals G. (G)	30. Patrikainen J. (G)
Coaches
. Helminen R.	. Myrra J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
03:12, Siikonen M. (2 min),
03:12, Perttu M. (2 min),
07:44, Siikanen P. (2 min),
13:39, Hokkanen O. (2 min),
13:39, Siikonen M. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
02:55, 0 - 1, Makinen A. (G), Makela M. (A), Tossavainen R. (A2)
07:39, Tauslahti M. (2 min),
16:53, 1 - 1, Siikanen P. (G), Naukkarinen J. (A), Perttu M. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
00:43, Siikonen M. (2 min),
10:40, Parssinen J. (2 min),
18:12, Rooba R. (2 min),
Overtime (1 - 0)
04:21, 2 - 1, Niinisaari S. (G), Intonen A. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SaiPa won 2.

In recent outings, SaiPa has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

KooKoo is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

SaiPa could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to SaiPa for this game.

Our forecast points to a victory for SaiPa in today's match, at odds of 1.75.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, SaiPa has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 53:56 (averaging 2.7:2.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for SaiPa against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 26:29 goals (averaging 2.6:2.9 per game).

Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now

Saipa: 4.11% KooKoo: 1.09%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
17	KooKoo	11	1	0	1	9	22:47	4

Last Results with these Odds

SaiPa - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50.52%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

KooKoo - the odds 3.48 are the expected chance of winning is 26.86%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SaiPa hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
18.09.26	KooKoo - SaiPa	0:4 ✺
15.09.26	SaiPa - Kiekko-Espoo	2:1 OT ✺
Champions League Ice Hockey
12.09.26	SaiPa - Nitra	2:3 AET ✺
10.09.26	SaiPa - Pardubice	3:2 ✺
06.09.26	Herning Blue Fox - SaiPa	2:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWLWW
- KooKoo
Finnish SM-liiga
18.09.26	KooKoo - SaiPa	0:4 ✺
16.09.26	KooKoo - JYP	3:5 ✺
Champions League Ice Hockey
12.09.26	KooKoo - Pardubice	3:6 ✺
10.09.26	KooKoo - Nitra	1:4 ✺
Finnish SM-liiga
09.09.26	Kiekko-Espoo - KooKoo	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-liiga
18.09.26	KooKoo - SaiPa	0:4
27.04.26	SaiPa - KooKoo	2:3 OT
25.04.26	KooKoo - SaiPa	4:0
24.04.26	SaiPa - KooKoo	3:0
21.04.26	KooKoo - SaiPa	2:4
18.04.26	SaiPa - KooKoo	3:5
17.04.26	KooKoo - SaiPa	4:2

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