Match Info

MHL

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday


	Sakhalinskie Akuly		Krasnaya Armiya

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.93	1.82
	3.70	3.85	1.80
	4.10	4.31	1.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.85 ↓ (5.91)	4.03 ↓ (5.25)	1.76 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sakhalinskie Akuly
24.1%

Draw
23%

Krasnaya Armiya
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.5%

17.5%

67%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17%

19.2%

61.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sakhalinskie Akuly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sakhalinskie Akuly's performance.

Krasnaya Armiya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Krasnaya Armiya might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sakhalinskie Akuly than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sakhalinskie Akuly that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krasnaya Armiya than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Krasnaya Armiya could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sakhalinskie Akuly - Krasnaya Armiya Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sakhalinskie Akuly (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Sakhalinskie Akuly (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sakhalinskie Akuly (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
88. Privalov A. (G)	57. Dubrovin K. (G)
33. Stashevsky N.	82. Trofimov Y.
47. Davydovsky Y. (A)	71. Pestretsov B. (A)
8. Plekhov A. (C)	52. Poroshkov D. (C)
97. Zheltov Y.	85. Kabisov L.
22. Matveev D.	8. Artyom M. (A)
Line 2
75. Kuchiyev R.	59. Deyev L.
82. Bannov D.	47. Khadzhimuradov M.
92. Lysenko M.	45. Sitnikov D.
86. Khalilov M.	96. Ermolov D.
17. Cherepanov S. (A)	29. Sidorov P.
Line 3
77. Belov L.	93. Adamov Y.
21. Kuznetsov T.	46. Rossinsky I.
95. Ovchinnikov Y.	91. Petrov A.
48. Kobets I.	99. Zaitsev M.
2. Levandovsky K.	12. Popov Y.
Line 4
96. Ignatenko V.	48. Paramonov K.
13. Korenev D.	76. Zhukov G.
6. Shcherban K.	25. Nikolaev D.
39. Leichenko A.	6. Denisov M.
Substitutes
29. Belous A. (G)	41. Petukhov M. (G)
99. Sopko T.	67. Voronov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
16:28, 0 - 1, Poroshkov D. (G), Kabisov L. (A), Adamov Y. (A2)
19:30, 1 - 1, Zheltov Y. (G),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
11:17, 1 - 2, Artyom M. (G),
11:56, 2 - 2, Cherepanov S. (G), Stashevsky N. (A), Davydovsky Y. (A2)
12:48, 2 - 3, Zaitsev M. (G),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
18:24, 3 - 3, Matveev D. (G), Bannov D. (A),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (0 - 1)
1, Ermolov D. (Penalty Shot),
1, Sopko T. (Penalty Shot),
2, Petrov A. (Penalty Shot),
2, Ovchinnikov Y. (Penalty Shot),
3, Artyom M. (Penalty Shot),
3, Matveev D. (Penalty Shot),
4, Plekhov A. (Penalty Shot),
4, Ermolov D. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sakhalinskie Akuly won 2.

In recent outings, Sakhalinskie Akuly has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Krasnaya Armiya is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Krasnaya Armiya may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Both teams have recently been through a succession of home fixtures.

Krasnaya Armiya carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Sakhalinskie Akuly has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 17 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:77 (averaging 1.2:3.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Sakhalinskie Akuly against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with 15:39 goals (averaging 1.5:3.9 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Sakhalinskie Akuly - the odds 5.91 are the expected chance of winning is 15.53%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sakhalinskie Akuly
MHL
04.10.26	Sakhalinskie Akuly - MHC Spartak	1:0 ✺
25.09.26	Sakhalinskie Akuly - Tayfun	1:2 penalties ✺
20.09.26	Sakhalinskie Akuly - Krylya Sovetov	3:4 penalties ✺
19.09.26	Sakhalinskie Akuly - Krylya Sovetov	3:1 ✺
14.09.26	Dinamo-Shinnik - Sakhalinskie Akuly	2:1 AET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WLLWL
- Krasnaya Armiya
MHL
05.10.26	Amurskie Tigry - Krasnaya Armiya	3:2 penalties ✺
01.10.26	Krasnaya Armiya - Dinamo-Shinnik	2:3 penalties ✺
29.09.26	Krasnaya Armiya - Dinamo-Shinnik	1:4 ✺
23.09.26	Krasnaya Armiya - Avto	2:5 ✺
21.09.26	Krasnaya Armiya - SKA-Akademiya	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

MHL
19.02.26	Krasnaya Armiya - Sakhalinskie Akuly	0:1
20.09.25	Sakhalinskie Akuly - Krasnaya Armiya	1:7
17.02.25	Krasnaya Armiya - Sakhalinskie Akuly	2:1
16.02.25	Krasnaya Armiya - Sakhalinskie Akuly	3:0
07.11.24	Sakhalinskie Akuly - Krasnaya Armiya	3:2
06.11.24	Sakhalinskie Akuly - Krasnaya Armiya	3:0
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
11.08.24	Krasnaya Armiya - Sakhalinskie Akuly	6:2

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