Match Info

NMHL

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Samara		Lipetsk

	1	X	2
	1.61	4.45	3.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 (1.61)	4.45 (4.45)	3.98 (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samara
56.6%

Draw
20.5%

Lipetsk
22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

20.5%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Samara have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Lipetsk have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The ML Model estimate for Samara aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for Lipetsk aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Samara - Lipetsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Samara will win (votes: 1 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
04:56, 0 - 1, Kharitonov A. (G), Shelegeda V. (A), Kunafin D. (A2)
07:54, 0 - 2, Kharitonov A. (G), Yefremov Y. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 1)
03:52, 0 - 3, Ptashnikov M. (G),
10:47, 1 - 3, Ilyin A. (G), Zhomov A. (A), Meier D. (A2)
17:02, 2 - 3, Seleznev G. (G), Bunakov N. (A),
3rd Period (3 - 0)
05:36, 3 - 3, Tolstykh S. (G), Polyakov I. (A),
08:39, 4 - 3, Borodin N. (G), Sobirov S. (A),
13:49, 5 - 3, Bunakov N. (G),

Preview

Samara is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lipetsk has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Samara is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Samara won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 2.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Samara won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Samara
RHL
21.02.26	Samara - Lipetsk	4:2 ✺
18.02.26	Samara - Tambov	1:5 ✺
17.02.26	Samara - Tambov	3:4 penalties ✺
11.02.26	Progress Glazov - Samara	4:1 ✺
10.02.26	Progress Glazov - Samara	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 WLLLL
- HC Lipetsk
RHL
21.02.26	Samara - Lipetsk	4:2 ✺
18.02.26	Kristall Saratov - Lipetsk	5:0 ✺
17.02.26	Kristall Saratov - Lipetsk	3:2 ✺
12.02.26	Lipetsk - MHK Ryazan	3:7 ✺
11.02.26	Lipetsk - MHK Ryazan	0:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

RHL
21.02.26	Samara - Lipetsk	4:2
03.11.25	Lipetsk - Samara	0:1 OT
02.11.25	Lipetsk - Samara	2:3 OT

Samara - Lipetsk