Match Info

AHL

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Pechanga Arena (San Diego, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	San Diego Gulls		Rockford IceHogs

	1	X	2
	1.75	4.33	3.25	Watch
	1.9	4.1	3.2
	1.83	4.4	3.42
	1.81	4.44	3.43	Watch
	1.8	4.2	3.25
	1.79	4.2	3.43	Watch
	1.98	4	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.92)	4.24 ↑ (3.9)	3.31 ↑ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Diego Gulls
50.3%

Draw
21.8%

Rockford IceHogs
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

23.4%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

24.2%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Diego Gulls has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Rockford IceHogs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego Gulls than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rockford IceHogs than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

San Diego Gulls - Rockford IceHogs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Clang C. (G)	39. Rodrigue O. (G)
12. Bailey J.	22. Anderson J. (A)
15. Brouillard N.	45. Engelbert J.
25. Burke C.	61. Furlong J.
22. Carpenter R. (C)	74. Gagnier R.
28. Caulfield J.	47. Harding T.
29. Colangelo S.	92. Hayes G.
17. Gaucher N.	64. Hislop B.
5. Hinds T.	43. Israels H.
41. Kinal R.	14. Korchinski K.
6. Luneau T.	93. Kuzmin D.
37. McKeown R. (A)	49. Lombardi K.
21. Myatovic N.	58. Mast R.
13. Nesterenko N.	68. Misiak M.
16. Pastujov S.	26. Mylymok C.
18. Phillips M. (A)	75. Perrott A.
14. Pitre C.	12. Pitlick R.
19. Sidorov Y.	62. Seney B. (C)
7. Solberg S.	25. Toninato D. (A)
Substitutes
30. Suchanek T. (G)	71. Flores O. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 2)
03:39, 1 - 0, Nesterenko N. (G), McKeown R. (A),
06:24, 1 - 1, Toninato D. (G), Harding T. (A), Pitlick R. (A2)
11:15, 2 - 1, Carpenter R. (G), Colangelo S. (A), Luneau T. (A2)
12:46, 3 - 1, Luneau T. (G),
14:59, 3 - 2, Seney B. (G), Anderson J. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
05:21, 3 - 3, Pitlick R. (G), Toninato D. (A), Hislop B. (A2)
18:08, 4 - 3, Solberg S. (G), McKeown R. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
00:14, 5 - 3, Pitre C. (G),
05:37, 5 - 4, Anderson J. (G), Hislop B. (A), Hayes G. (A2)
19:43, 6 - 4, Brouillard N. (G), Burke C. (A), Carpenter R. (A2)

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 6)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Diego won 2.

Recent form of San Diego has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rockford has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

San Diego might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, San Diego won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 30:18. (average 3.3:2).

Including home matches between the teams, San Diego won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 2.3:2.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Rockford IceHogs - the odds 3.12 are the expected chance of winning is 29.2%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Diego Gulls
AHL
06.03.26	San Diego Gulls - Rockford IceHogs	2:3 ✺
04.03.26	San Jose Barracuda - San Diego Gulls	3:2 ✺
28.02.26	Texas Stars - San Diego Gulls	6:5 OT ✺
27.02.26	Texas Stars - San Diego Gulls	1:2 ✺
25.02.26	San Diego Gulls - Tucson Roadrunners	1:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLWL
- Rockford IceHogs
AHL
06.03.26	San Diego Gulls - Rockford IceHogs	2:3 ✺
04.03.26	Grand Rapids Griffins - Rockford IceHogs	7:3 ✺
28.02.26	Rockford IceHogs - Hershey Bears	1:5 ✺
27.02.26	Rockford IceHogs - Hershey Bears	1:4 ✺
22.02.26	Rockford IceHogs - San Diego Gulls	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

AHL
06.03.26	San Diego Gulls - Rockford IceHogs	2:3
22.02.26	Rockford IceHogs - San Diego Gulls	2:1
21.02.26	Rockford IceHogs - San Diego Gulls	4:5
22.12.23	San Diego Gulls - Rockford IceHogs	2:3 OT
20.12.23	San Diego Gulls - Rockford IceHogs	2:1
09.12.23	Rockford IceHogs - San Diego Gulls	1:5
08.12.23	Rockford IceHogs - San Diego Gulls	0:7

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