The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Saryarka 59.7%
Draw 18.7%
Gornyak Rudny 21.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
59%
18.9%
22.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56%
20.3%
23.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Saryarka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
Gornyak Rudny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saryarka than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gornyak Rudny than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Saryarka - Gornyak Rudny Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
71. Zjuzin A. (G)
30. Meider T. (G)
16. Borisevich A.
96. Gorozhaninov I.
87. Bozhko V.
27. Gurin V.
44. Durglishvili R.
88. Kankin K.
61. Dyomin R.
7. Katkov A. (A)
70. Dyukarev V.
28. Krotov V.
22. Karaban D.
5. Kurshuk A. (A)
36. Korolinsky Y.
93. Lazarev S.
17. Likhotnikov A. (A)
82. Lyapunov N.
98. Lyulko V.
15. Manazhanov T.
96. Mikhaylov E. (A)
87. Mozzherin M.
23. Namestnikov Y.
19. Parkhomenko D.
8. Nikulin V.
35. Platonov D.
19. Palmtag K.
14. Rakhimov S.
21. Polokhov K.
42. Ryazanov D.
86. Ponomaryov I.
97. Shimin Y.
89. Ponomaryov K.
10. Shingareyev T.
33. Shulga V.
41. Stulov D.
3. Siksna E. (C)
71. Tserulnikov A.
77. Smolyaninov Y.
8. Utebayev R.
18. Volkov V.
17. Yulbarisov O. (C)
Substitutes
90. Kadochnikov D. (G)
81. Nikitin V. (G)
30. Kakenov R. (G)
40. Shinkovsky A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
04:03, 0 - 1, Platonov D. (G), Parkhomenko D. (A), Lazarev S. (A2)
06:07, 1 - 1, Ponomaryov K. (G), Palmtag K. (A), Korolinsky Y. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
07:25, 2 - 1, Likhotnikov A. (G), Siksna E. (A), Dyukarev V. (A2)
16:55, 3 - 1, Karaban D. (G), Borisevich A. (A), Siksna E. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
16:50, 3 - 2, Gurin V. (G), Kurshuk A. (A), Shingareyev T. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saryarka won 4.
Saryarka is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Gornyak Rudny have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Both teams have recently been through a demanding run of away matches.
In this matchup, Saryarka is considered the favorite to take the win.
Our forecast points to a victory for Saryarka in today's match, at odds of 1.55.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Saryarka has recorded 16 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 73:40 (averaging 3.7:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Saryarka against this opponent, the record stands at 11 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 46:21 goals (averaging 3.8:1.8 per game).