The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Saryarka 32.6%
Draw 22.8%
Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk 44.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.6%
22.6%
45.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.7%
24.9%
50.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Saryarka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saryarka than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Saryarka - Torpedo Ust Kamenogorsk Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
90. Kadochnikov D. (G)
32. Kudryavtsev S. (G)
16. Borisevich A.
67. Aldabergenov E.
61. Dyomin R.
11. Alexandrov S.
22. Karaban D.
8. Borovikov S. (A)
63. Khripkov Y.
88. Butenko D.
36. Korolinsky Y.
85. Bykov D.
17. Likhotnikov A. (A)
77. Daniyar Say. (C)
98. Lyulko V.
17. Gatiyatov A.
96. Mikhaylov E. (A)
3. Gavrilenko I.
23. Namestnikov Y.
71. Glukhikh A.
8. Nikulin V.
92. Grents D.
19. Palmtag K.
9. Guseinov D.
86. Ponomaryov I.
55. Khoroshev F. (A)
89. Ponomaryov K.
16. Kolobov N.
95. Presnov D.
10. Mukhametov M.
33. Shulga V.
15. Panchenko A.
3. Siksna E. (C)
73. Prokhorov A.
77. Smolyaninov Y.
19. Rakhmanov M.
15. Tusupbekov S.
65. Ryzhy I.
18. Volkov V.
25. Sagymbayev M.
95. Zhirnov P.
Substitutes
30. Ibragimov Z. (G)
90. Grokhotov V. (G)
71. Zjuzin A. (G)
33. Osokin A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 1)
02:46, 1 - 0, Likhotnikov A. (G),
05:37, 1 - 1, Guseinov D. (G), Gatiyatov A. (A),
17:35, 2 - 1, Siksna E. (G), Borisevich A. (A), Likhotnikov A. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
06:18, 2 - 2, Prokhorov A. (G), Zhirnov P. (A), Bykov D. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (0 - 2)
1, Zhirnov P. (Penalty Shot),
1, Korolinsky Y. (Penalty Shot),
2, Grents D. (Penalty Shot),
2, Nikulin V. (Penalty Shot),
3, Mukhametov M. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saryarka won 4.
Saryarka is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
In recent matches, Torpedo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, Saryarka has had a series of home games.
Torpedo could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Saryarka won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 50:56. (average 2.5:2.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Saryarka won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 30:26. (average 3:2.6).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
3
Torpedo
16
8
3
2
3
67:36
24
5
Karaganda
16
9
1
1
5
69:41
21
Last Results with these Odds
Saryarka - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 31.61%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 45.76%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.