The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Saskatoon Blades 58.1%
Draw 19.1%
Moose Jaw Warriors 22.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.5%
20%
25.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50%
21.8%
27.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Saskatoon Blades has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
Moose Jaw Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saskatoon Blades than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Saskatoon Blades that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moose Jaw Warriors than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Moose Jaw Warriors could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Saskatoon Blades - Moose Jaw Warriors Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
81. Psohlavec M. (G)
1. Mingo D. (G)
17. Andersen G.
55. Andresen K.
71. Bowtell B.
19. Brown C. (A)
66. Gusev Y.
8. Carter C.
6. Harsanyi H.
21. Darby G.
55. Hutzinger K.
12. Degagne W.
37. Kachkowski J.
16. Degenstein N.
4. Klimpke B. (C)
11. Kamarainen R.
27. Laing H. (A)
22. Lajoie M.
41. Lavallee J.
7. McFadden L.
11. Lewandowski D.
34. Moroz L. (A)
20. Lewko C.
36. Nagel G.
3. Martin J.
2. Ness B. (C)
88. Martinuik K.
4. Paquette N.
77. Mathies K. (A)
39. Petersen C.
25. Mitchell-McEllhone T.
10. Schmidt C. (A)
13. Poll I.
23. Smith C.
56. Sobry T.
38. Thorpe R.
16. Williams C. (A)
43. Trefny J.
3. Williams C.
Substitutes
32. Timmerman T. (G)
41. Switzer J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
04:00, 1 - 0, Williams C. (G), Klimpke B. (A), Martin J. (A2)
07:50, 1 - 1, Thorpe R. (G), Schmidt C. (A),
2nd Period (4 - 1)
02:31, 2 - 1, Williams C. (G), Mathies K. (A),
04:53, 2 - 2, Degenstein N. (G), Trefny J. (A),
09:20, 3 - 2, Harsanyi H. (G), Mathies K. (A), Laing H. (A2)
15:20, 4 - 2, Mathies K. (G), Klimpke B. (A),
16:53, 5 - 2, Gusev Y. (G),
3rd Period (2 - 2)
09:46, 5 - 3, McFadden L. (G), Thorpe R. (A),
10:26, 6 - 3, Kachkowski J. (G), Mathies K. (A),
11:43, 6 - 4, Carter C. (G), Trefny J. (A), Paquette N. (A2)
15:38, 7 - 4, Martinuik K. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saskatoon won 3.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Recently, Moose Jaw has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Saskatoon carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Saskatoon has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 76:71 (averaging 3.8:3.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Saskatoon against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 35:31 goals (averaging 3.5:3.1 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Saskatoon Blades - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 54.49%, but this team recently wins 65% of matches with these odds.
Moose Jaw Warriors - the odds 3.61 are the expected chance of winning is 25.51%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.