Match Info

Tipsport liga - Round 54

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	JOJ Play, JOJ Sport


	Slovan Bratislava		Dukla Michalovce

	1	X	2
	1.27	6.5	7
	1.36	5.45	6.35	Watch
	1.26	6.08	6.91
	1.35	5.64	6.54	Watch
	1.25	5.5	7
	1.31	5.6	6.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.61)	5.8 ↑ (4.66)	6.76 ↑ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Slovan Bratislava
70.6%

Draw
15.8%

Dukla Michalovce
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

19.9%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

20.4%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Slovan Bratislava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Slovan Bratislava's performance.

Dukla Michalovce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dukla Michalovce might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slovan Bratislava than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Slovan Bratislava that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dukla Michalovce than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dukla Michalovce could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Slovan Bratislava - Dukla Michalovce Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Slovan (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5, OT - Michalovce (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Slovan (votes: 1 - 50%). Michalovce (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Kiviaho H. (G)	33. Durny R. (G)
52. Acolatse S.	85. Marcinko J.
5. Bacik P.	59. Welsh C.
73. Varga R.	73. Luchkin K.
65. Marcinko T.	80. Smida S.
49. Takac S.	89. Safaraleyev I.
Line 2
6. O'Connor R.	44. Melisko J.
43. Maier P.	4. Bindulis K.
39. Pecararo L.	10. Matta I.
92. Elson T.	61. Bartanus M.
10. Dmowski R.	88. Fominykh D.
Line 3
71. Turan O.	77. Kubka B.
84. Zelenak V.	3. Sertti L.
83. Bakos M.	67. Varga A.
95. Peterek J.	70. Lichanec P.
27. Bondra R.	13. Stahon L.
Line 4
44. Petriska J.	68. Kizak S.
69. Solensky S.	18. Hrabcak S.
41. Jendek D.	8. Rimko A.
Substitutes
96. Andrisik P. (G)	31. Majercik B. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
00:50, 0 - 1, Matta I. (G), Melisko J. (A), Fominykh D. (A2)
16:44, 1 - 1, Varga R. (G), Bakos M. (A), Acolatse S. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
12:56, 1 - 2, Varga A. (G), Melisko J. (A),

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tipsport liga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Tipsport liga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Slovan is Qualified for Tipsport liga (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Michalovce is Qualified for Tipsport liga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Slovan won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Slovan is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Slovan won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 39:68. (average 2:3.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Slovan won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:25. (average 2.7:2.8).

Outrights of Slovak Extraliga for now

Slovan Bratislava: 24.75% Michalovce: 2.65%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	Slovan Bratislava	9	6	0	1	2	32:22	19
9	Michalovce	9	2	1	1	5	21:32	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Slovan Bratislava
Slovak Extraliga
06.03.26	Liptovský Mikuláš - Slovan Bratislava	1:3 ✺
01.03.26	Slovan Bratislava - Poprad	2:3 penalties ✺
27.02.26	Slovan Bratislava - HC Dukla Trenčín	1:3 ✺
22.02.26	MsHK Žilina - Slovan Bratislava	3:2 OT ✺
20.02.26	Slovan Bratislava - Banská Bystrica	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLLW
- HK Dukla Michalovce
Slovak Extraliga
06.03.26	Dukla Michalovce - HC Dukla Trenčín	2:6 ✺
01.03.26	MsHK Žilina - Dukla Michalovce	2:1 OT ✺
27.02.26	Dukla Michalovce - Banská Bystrica	3:2 ✺
22.02.26	Prešov - Dukla Michalovce	2:7 ✺
20.02.26	Dukla Michalovce - Zvolen	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Slovak Extraliga
30.01.26	Dukla Michalovce - Slovan Bratislava	6:1
23.11.25	Slovan Bratislava - Dukla Michalovce	3:0
12.10.25	Dukla Michalovce - Slovan Bratislava	2:3
02.02.25	Slovan Bratislava - Dukla Michalovce	2:3
29.11.24	Dukla Michalovce - Slovan Bratislava	4:2
16.10.24	Dukla Michalovce - Slovan Bratislava	5:1
22.09.24	Slovan Bratislava - Dukla Michalovce	3:4

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