Match Info

Extraliga - Round 46

Date: 26 January 2026, Monday

Location: O2 Arena (Prague)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 2, Oneplay Sport 4
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Slovakia	Voyo


	Sparta Prague		Olomouc

	1	X	2
	1.46	5.25	5.25	Watch
	1.48	5	5.3
	1.47	4.82	4.66
	1.38	5.63	6.18
	1.4	5	5.5
	1.47	5.1	5.38
	1.45	5.25	5.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.45)	5.15 ↑ (4.84)	5.36 ↑ (5.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sparta Prague
64.5%

Draw
18.1%

Olomouc
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.6%

19.1%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

20.4%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sparta Prague has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

The chances for Olomouc have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Prague than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olomouc than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Sparta Prague - Olomouc Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2, OT - Sparta Prague (2.08) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sparta Prague (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
43. Kovar J. (G)	1. Machovsky M. (G)
10. Pysyk M.	48. Cerny T.
36. Krejcik J. (A)	23. Ondrusek J. (C)
26. Repik M. (A)	88. Navratil J.
94. Shore D.	19. Nahodil L. (A)
14. Chlapik F. (C)	62. Plasek K. Jr.
Line 2
7. Knot R.	37. Stella E.
97. Masin D.	61. Cosgrove T.
23. Kousal P.	32. Orsava J. (A)
34. Spacek M.	41. Vitouch D.
85. Novak F.	11. Fridrich P.
Line 3
24. Irving A.	27. Rasner A.
77. Nemecek D.	39. Petrovicky R.
16. Dzierkals M.	81. Matys O.
11. Hrabik K.	91. Kusko S.
74. Raska A.	9. Krastenbergs R.
Line 4
4. Sirota J.	3. Skurek D.
91. Vesalainen K.	89. Doktor J.
46. Najman O.	24. Andel L.
38. Hyka T.	7. Ministr D.
Substitutes
19. Hrabik O.	29. Cichon O. (G)
32. Korenar J. (G)
Coaches
. Nedved J.	. Petrovicky R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 1)
00:19, 1 - 0, Shore D. (G), Repik M. (A), Chlapik F. (A2)
02:35, 2 - 0, Shore D. (G), Pysyk M. (A), Repik M. (A2)
06:48, Cerny T. (2 min),
11:10, 2 - 1, Fridrich P. (G), Orsava J. (A), Cerny T. (A2)
17:17, 3 - 1, Hyka T. (G), Krejcik J. (A), Pysyk M. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
10:05, 3 - 2, Ministr D. (G), Andel L. (A),
16:34, 4 - 2, Chlapik F. (G), Shore D. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
07:50, Raska A. (2 min),
10:07, Petrovicky R. (2 min),
11:33, 5 - 2, Krejcik J. (G), Kousal P. (A), Vesalainen K. (A2)
11:51, 6 - 2, Raska A. (G), Hrabik K. (A), Dzierkals M. (A2)
13:54, 6 - 3, Doktor J. (G), Andel L. (A), Rasner A. (A2)
16:36, Masin D. (2 min),
18:23, Kusko S. (2 min),

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Extraliga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Extraliga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sparta Prague won 4.

In recent matches, Sparta Prague has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Olomouc has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sparta Prague may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sparta Prague is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Sparta Prague: Horak R. (Knee Injury) Lajunen J. (Back Injury) Seppala M. (Injury) Vitouch M. (Injury)

There will not play in Olomouc: Cacho V. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Sparta Prague: Najman O. (Illness)

There are questionable in Olomouc: Macuh R. (Concussion)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sparta Prague won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 63:48. (average 3.2:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Sparta Prague won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:26. (average 3.6:2.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
10	Sparta Prague	9	3	0	2	4	28:28	11
14	Olomouc	9	1	1	0	7	17:33	5

Last Results with these Odds

Sparta Prague - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 63.59%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Sparta Prague
Czech Extraliga
20.01.26	Sparta Prague - Mountfield Hradec Králové	1:2 penalties ✺
18.01.26	Energie Karlovy Vary - Sparta Prague	3:4 penalties ✺
15.01.26	Sparta Prague - Kometa Brno	1:3 ✺
13.01.26	Sparta Prague - Verva Litvínov	5:1 ✺
11.01.26	Oceláři Třinec - Sparta Prague	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLWL
- HC Olomouc
Czech Extraliga
25.01.26	Verva Litvínov - Olomouc	3:5 ✺
23.01.26	Olomouc - Pardubice	2:3 ✺
18.01.26	Rytíři Kladno - Olomouc	2:0 ✺
16.01.26	Olomouc - Energie Karlovy Vary	1:5 ✺
12.01.26	HC Plzeň 1929 - Olomouc	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Czech Extraliga
23.12.25	Sparta Prague - Olomouc	7:2
31.10.25	Olomouc - Sparta Prague	1:4
23.09.25	Olomouc - Sparta Prague	4:2
16.02.25	Olomouc - Sparta Prague	2:3
05.01.25	Sparta Prague - Olomouc	5:4 OT
16.11.24	Sparta Prague - Olomouc	3:2
02.10.24	Olomouc - Sparta Prague	3:2

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