Match Info

ELJ - Losers stage - Round 21

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Czechicehockey.tv


	Sparta U20 Prague		Mountfield HK U20

	1	X	2
	1.52	4.75	4.35
	1.51	4.56	4.41
	1.52	4.94	4.42	Watch
	1.44	4.6	4.5
	1.5	4.75	4.52
	1.5	4.5	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.52)	4.68 ↓ (4.76)	4.41 ↓ (4.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sparta U20 Prague
60.2%

Draw
19.3%

Mountfield HK U20
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

19.3%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

21.2%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sparta U20 Prague has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Mountfield HK U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta U20 Prague than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sparta U20 Prague that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mountfield HK U20 than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Sparta U20 Prague - Mountfield HK U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zbanek S. (G)	1. Huzl D. (G)
8. Burda A.	20. Bezpalec A.
20. Byakov A. (C)	22. Brzak F.
23. Cichon R.	8. Forejtek O.
28. Cvikl J.	19. Gaso A. (A)
17. Hlinka T.	15. Hendrych P.
7. Holecek T. (A)	14. Hora T. (C)
22. Hoznourek D.	12. Janecek J.
13. Kadlec O.	13. Jon J.
27. Kurka A.	5. Klima F.
21. McGovern M.	24. Krogler M.
19. Nedved M.	21. Panek J.
29. Nejedly R.	18. Paulus F.
12. Novak B.	3. Pavlik D.
9. Petrovic D.	9. Sichan D.
5. Samson O.	16. Stiburek M.
10. Sichtar S.	7. Studnicky K.
11. Stekly V. (A)	6. Vondruska J.
24. Vrzal T.	23. Vystavkin A.
25. Zmola J.
Substitutes
30. Vaculik J. (G)	2. Petrik V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
02:41, 0 - 1, Hendrych P. (G), Janecek J. (A),
10:43, 0 - 2, Studnicky K. (G), Hora T. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
09:38, 0 - 3, Studnicky K. (G), Hora T. (A),
10:43, 0 - 4, Stiburek M. (G), Janecek J. (A), Gaso A. (A2)
19:45, 1 - 4, Holecek T. (G), Cvikl J. (A), Novak B. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
09:33, 2 - 4, Kurka A. (G), Byakov A. (A), Cvikl J. (A2)
09:59, 3 - 4, Stekly V. (G), Zmola J. (A), Cichon R. (A2)

Preview

Sparta U20 is Qualified for ELJ (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Mountfield U20 is ELJ (Relegation)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sparta U20 won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Mountfield U20 has had a series of away games.

In this match, Sparta U20 is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sparta U20 won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 65:49. (average 3.3:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Sparta U20 won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 35:29. (average 3.2:2.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
4	Sparta Prague U20	12	7	2	1	2	47:31	26
13	Mountfield HK U20	13	3	1	2	7	39:48	13

Last Results with these Odds

Sparta U20 Prague - the odds 1.52 are the expected chance of winning is 60.48%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Sparta U20 Prague
Czech ELJ
05.03.26	Verva Litvínov U20 - Sparta U20 Prague	0:7 ✺
28.02.26	Sparta U20 Prague - Poruba U20	9:2 ✺
26.02.26	Sparta U20 Prague - Slavia Prague U20	4:3 OT ✺
21.02.26	Plzen U20 - Sparta U20 Prague	1:0 ✺
19.02.26	Sparta U20 Prague - Vítkovice Steel U20	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWLL
- Mountfield HK U20
Czech ELJ
05.03.26	Mountfield HK U20 - Slavia Prague U20	7:4 ✺
28.02.26	Vítkovice Steel U20 - Mountfield HK U20	4:2 ✺
26.02.26	Verva Litvínov U20 - Mountfield HK U20	12:1 ✺
24.02.26	Slavia Prague U20 - Mountfield HK U20	0:5 ✺
19.02.26	Poruba U20 - Mountfield HK U20	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Czech ELJ
30.01.26	Sparta U20 Prague - Mountfield HK U20	3:5
09.01.26	Mountfield HK U20 - Sparta U20 Prague	3:4
14.12.25	Sparta U20 Prague - Mountfield HK U20	5:4 penalties
18.10.25	Mountfield HK U20 - Sparta U20 Prague	3:4 OT
18.03.25	Mountfield HK U20 - Sparta U20 Prague	2:5
15.03.25	Sparta U20 Prague - Mountfield HK U20	5:4 OT
14.03.25	Sparta U20 Prague - Mountfield HK U20	6:1

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