Match Info

ELJ - Losers stage - Round 3

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday


	Sparta U20 Prague		Verva Litvínov U20

	1	X	2
	1.73	4.63	3.43	Watch
	2.25	4.2	2.3
	2.23	4.25	2.36
	1.83	4.75	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.73)	4.46 ↓ (4.63)	2.71 ↓ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sparta U20 Prague
45.6%

Draw
20.6%

Verva Litvínov U20
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

19.9%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

19.2%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sparta U20 Prague has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sparta U20 Prague's form might have worsened.

Verva Litvínov U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Verva Litvínov U20's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sparta U20 Prague than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sparta U20 Prague, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Verva Litvínov U20 than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Verva Litvínov U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sparta U20 Prague - Verva Litvínov U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Vaculik J. (G)	42. Balik L. (G)
8. Burda A.	18. Babka A.
20. Byakov A. (C)	9. Bednarik J.
15. Cerny V.	88. Bednarik J.
23. Cichon R.	93. Bozsenik D.
16. Fabry A. (A)	71. Cech D. (C)
17. Hlinka T.	95. Klempir A.
13. Kadlec O.	21. Koky J.
27. Kurka A.	16. Micek T.
14. Marek A.	19. Muller K.
21. McGovern M.	91. Peroutka J.
3. Michalek M.	72. Peroutka M.
19. Nedved M.	98. Petruzalek J.
29. Nejedly R.	23. Placens J.
12. Novak B.	20. Prokes D. (A)
9. Petrovic D.	14. Raichl V.
4. Prichodko S.	81. Scafari A.
10. Sichtar S.	79. Sousek P. (A)
	10. Topol F.
Substitutes
1. Zbanek S. (G)	31. Vedral S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
04:55, 1 - 0, McGovern M. (G),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
03:40, 1 - 1, Bednarik J. (G), Peroutka M. (A),
07:51, 1 - 2, Peroutka M. (G), Bednarik J. (A),
10:43, 2 - 2, Byakov A. (G), Marek A. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
00:47, 3 - 2, Fabry A. (G), Marek A. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sparta U20 won 3.

Sparta U20 is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Litvínov U20 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sparta U20 might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sparta U20 won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 80:62. (average 4:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sparta U20 won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 41:30. (average 4.1:3).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
4	Sparta Prague U20	12	7	2	1	2	47:31	26
11	Litvinov U20	12	4	1	0	7	30:41	14

Last Results with these Odds

Sparta U20 Prague - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 53.25%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Sparta U20 Prague
Czech ELJ
20.12.25	Sparta U20 Prague - Slavia Prague U20	5:4 ✺
14.12.25	Sparta U20 Prague - Mountfield HK U20	5:4 penalties ✺
13.12.25	Sparta U20 Prague - Pardubice U20	4:3 ✺
06.12.25	Verva Litvínov U20 - Sparta U20 Prague	4:7 ✺
05.12.25	Energie Karlovy Vary U20 - Sparta U20 Prague	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWWL
- Verva Litvínov U20
Czech ELJ
20.12.25	Verva Litvínov U20 - Plzen U20	4:2 ✺
19.12.25	Verva Litvínov U20 - Slavia Prague U20	3:6 ✺
14.12.25	Dukla Jihlava U20 - Verva Litvínov U20	3:6 ✺
13.12.25	Kometa Brno U20 - Verva Litvínov U20	1:5 ✺
06.12.25	Verva Litvínov U20 - Sparta U20 Prague	4:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Czech ELJ
06.12.25	Verva Litvínov U20 - Sparta U20 Prague	4:7
11.10.25	Sparta U20 Prague - Verva Litvínov U20	1:6
01.02.25	Verva Litvínov U20 - Sparta U20 Prague	5:1
11.01.25	Sparta U20 Prague - Verva Litvínov U20	4:3 penalties
14.12.24	Sparta U20 Prague - Verva Litvínov U20	7:0
19.10.24	Verva Litvínov U20 - Sparta U20 Prague	0:6
25.11.23	Verva Litvínov U20 - Sparta U20 Prague	2:5

Sparta U20 Prague - Verva Litvínov U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide