Match Info

Ligue Magnus - Round 41

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday

Location: Palais Omnisports Marseille Grand-Est (Marseille)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Sport en France


	Spartiates de Marseille		Brûleurs de Loups Grenoble

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.2	4.65	1.44
	4.97	5.13	1.41
	4.98	5.07	1.49	Watch
	6	5.5	1.33
	5.4	5.3	1.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.31 ↑ (4.83)	5.13 ↑ (5.01)	1.41 ↓ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartiates de Marseille
17.2%

Draw
17.8%

Brûleurs de Loups Grenoble
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.2%

18.5%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.7%

19%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartiates de Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Brûleurs de Loups Grenoble has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartiates de Marseille than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brûleurs de Loups Grenoble than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Spartiates de Marseille - Brûleurs de Loups Grenoble Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Gourdin F. (G)	69. Pintaric M. (G)
13. Asten M.	49. Beauchemin F.
74. Bourgeois F. (A)	94. Boivin C.
15. Bouvet M.	72. Crinon P.
37. Corvez M.	3. Dair A.
17. Coulaud Y. (C)	17. Deschamps N. (A)
77. Da Costa T.	6. Englund P.
23. Dair F.	27. Fertin A.
44. Dufek J. (A)	5. Grossetete V.
11. Gonnard G.	18. Koudri A.
12. Joubert P.	47. Kulbis-Marino A.
90. Lindgren A.	22. Leclerc G.
97. Nsonsa-Kitala N.	92. Mallet A.
53. Petersson B.	83. Matima R.
36. Ruusu E.	57. Prissaint A.
92. Stromberg K.	12. Toukmatchev M.
91. Valtonen J.	77. Treille S. (C)
71. Welsh T.	23. Weigel F. (A)
	44. Zajac N.
Substitutes
39. Kasik L. (G)	1. Debiak C. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
10:50, 0 - 1, Treille S. (G),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
05:08, 1 - 1, Asten M. (G), Coulaud Y. (A),
08:17, 1 - 2, Koudri A. (G),
3rd Period (0 - 2)
09:36, 1 - 3, Treille S. (G), Boivin C. (A),
18:10, 1 - 4, Leclerc G. (G), Weigel F. (A),

Preview

Marseille is Qualified for Ligue Magnus (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Grenoble is Qualified for Ligue Magnus (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marseille won 2.

Marseille is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Grenoble's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Marseille may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Grenoble is a strong favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Marseille won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 31:62. (average 2.4:4.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Marseille won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 3.4:3.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Marseille	9	6	2	0	1	34:20	22
3	Grenoble	8	6	0	1	1	29:16	19

Last Results with these Odds

Brûleurs de Loups Grenoble - the odds 1.49 are the expected chance of winning is 62.27%, but this team recently wins 90% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartiates de Marseille
French Ligue Magnus
24.02.26	Cergy-Pontoise - Spartiates de Marseille	6:5 OT ✺
19.02.26	Spartiates de Marseille - Nice	4:7 ✺
06.02.26	Spartiates de Marseille - Chamonix	5:2 ✺
30.01.26	Briançon - Spartiates de Marseille	3:2 OT ✺
27.01.26	Spartiates de Marseille - Rouen	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLWLL
- Brûleurs de Loups Grenoble
French Ligue Magnus
24.02.26	Brûleurs de Loups Grenoble - Briançon	5:2 ✺
22.02.26	Brûleurs de Loups Grenoble - Gap	4:5 ✺
19.02.26	Rouen - Brûleurs de Loups Grenoble	5:3 ✺
06.02.26	Brûleurs de Loups Grenoble - Anglet	8:0 ✺
French Hockey Cup
01.02.26	Rouen - Brûleurs de Loups Grenoble	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue Magnus
09.01.26	Brûleurs de Loups Grenoble - Spartiates de Marseille	7:1
14.11.25	Spartiates de Marseille - Brûleurs de Loups Grenoble	6:2
03.10.25	Brûleurs de Loups Grenoble - Spartiates de Marseille	2:3 penalties
21.01.25	Brûleurs de Loups Grenoble - Spartiates de Marseille	8:2
10.12.24	Spartiates de Marseille - Brûleurs de Loups Grenoble	4:5
08.11.24	Spartiates de Marseille - Brûleurs de Loups Grenoble	3:4
04.10.24	Brûleurs de Loups Grenoble - Spartiates de Marseille	7:2

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