Match Info

SLOVAKIA: EXTRALIGA - ROUND 45

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday

Location: Spis Arena (Spisska Nova Ves)


	Spišská Nová Ves		HC 19 Humenné

	1	X	2
	1.42	5.25	5
	1.44	5.25	5.25
	1.4	5.15	5.95	Watch
	1.39	4.9	5.3
	1.43	5.19	6.17
	1.4	5.5	5
	1.42	5.12	5.36	Watch
	1.42	5.1	5.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.37)	5.18 ↑ (5.1)	5.47 ↓ (6.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spišská Nová Ves
65.3%

Draw
17.8%

HC 19 Humenné
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.3%

18.1%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

16.4%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spišská Nová Ves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

HC 19 Humenné has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spišská Nová Ves than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HC 19 Humenné than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Spišská Nová Ves - HC 19 Humenné Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Extraliga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Liga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Spišská Nová Ves won 3.

Spišská Nová Ves is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

HC 19 Humenné has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Spišská Nová Ves is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Spišská Nová Ves won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 27-27.

Including matches at home between the teams Spišská Nová Ves won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Spišská Nová Ves
Slovak Extraliga
16.02.24	Spišská Nová Ves - Zvolen	4:3 OT ✺
14.02.24	Slovan Bratislava - Spišská Nová Ves	2:1 ✺
04.02.24	Spišská Nová Ves - Dukla Michalovce	2:4 ✺
02.02.24	Liptovský Mikuláš - Spišská Nová Ves	3:2 ✺
28.01.24	Spišská Nová Ves - Ice Tigers Nové Zámky	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLLL
- HC 19 Humenné
Slovak Extraliga
16.02.24	HC 19 Humenné - Poprad	2:5 ✺
14.02.24	Zvolen - HC 19 Humenné	4:0 ✺
04.02.24	HC 19 Humenné - Banská Bystrica	4:5 penalties ✺
02.02.24	Slovan Bratislava - HC 19 Humenné	7:2 ✺
28.01.24	HC Košice - HC 19 Humenné	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Slovak Extraliga
07.01.24	HC 19 Humenné - Spišská Nová Ves	1:3
05.01.24	Spišská Nová Ves - HC 19 Humenné	3:1
22.12.23	HC 19 Humenné - Spišská Nová Ves	6:3
05.11.23	Spišská Nová Ves - HC 19 Humenné	6:2
01.10.23	HC 19 Humenné - Spišská Nová Ves	5:4 penalties
Slovak 1 Liga Hockey
19.02.21	Spišská Nová Ves - HC 19 Humenné	2:4
08.02.21	Spišská Nová Ves - HC 19 Humenné	2:1

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