The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Springfield Thunderbirds 36.4%
Draw 22.3%
Lehigh Valley Phantoms 41.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36.5%
22.1%
41.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.9%
23.6%
37.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Springfield Thunderbirds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Lehigh Valley Phantoms has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Springfield Thunderbirds than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lehigh Valley Phantoms than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Springfield Thunderbirds - Lehigh Valley Phantoms Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
40. Cranley W. (G)
35. Kolosov A. (G)
42. Burns Q.
12. Aston-Reese Z. (A)
8. Carbonneau J.
76. Bantle C.
37. Finley J.
20. Bump A.
6. Fischer L.
13. Ciernik A.
45. Gaudet M.
26. Cooper W.
41. Kaskimaki A.
44. Dineen C. (A)
13. Kessy K.
92. Edward J.
48. Koromyslov A.
56. Gaucher J. (A)
18. Pekarcik J.
42. Gill S.
5. Ralph C.
10. Goyette D.
26. Robertsson S.
14. Gruden J.
43. Rosen C.
22. Knuble C.
21. Stancl J.
77. Luchanko J.
28. Stenberg O.
19. McDonald H.
70. Sundqvist O.
4. Murchison T.
71. Susuyev N.
90. Pautov I.
77. Trudeau F.
15. Powell N.
17. Tynan T.J.
9. Thompson R.
Substitutes
30. Romanov G. (G)
64. Bjarnason C. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
02:36, 1 - 0, Rosen C. (G),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
03:35, 2 - 0, Stancl J. (G), Rosen C. (A), Finley J. (A2)
04:48, 2 - 1, Goyette D. (G), Gruden J. (A), Murchison T. (A2)
15:09, 2 - 2, Bump A. (G), Dineen C. (A), Gaucher J. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (0 - 1)
02', 2 - 3, (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Springfield won 3.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Springfield could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Springfield has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 63:58 (averaging 3.2:2.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Springfield against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 36:34 goals (averaging 3.3:3.1 per game).
Outrights of AHL for now
Springfield Thunderbirds: 1.74% Lehigh Valley Phantoms: 1.74%
Last Results with these Odds
Springfield Thunderbirds - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 36.5%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.
Lehigh Valley Phantoms - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 41.35%, but this team recently wins 15% of matches with these odds.