Match Info

MHL

Date: 17 September 2026, Thursday


	Sputnik Almetyevsk		Chaika

	1	X	2
	5.90	5.35	1.40
	5.75	5.20	1.37
	5.95	5.55	1.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.87 ↑ (5.45)	5.37 ↑ (5.1)	1.37 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sputnik Almetyevsk
15.7%

Draw
17.2%

Chaika
67.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

16.9%

18%

65.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.4%

19.6%

59.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sputnik Almetyevsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Chaika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sputnik Almetyevsk than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chaika than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chaika, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sputnik Almetyevsk - Chaika Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

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Lineups

Line 1
72. Tychkin D. (G)	31. Suchkov D.
26. Zaripov D. (A)	19. Anisimov A.
15. Abramov P.	65. Chesnokov I. (C)
52. Troyanov I.	75. Melnikov Y.
28. Taziyev V.	7. Maximov R.
57. Safonov V. (A)	15. Matyuk A.
Line 2
53. Gamyzov D.	51. Izmailov N. (A)
14. Fakhrutdinov D.	81. Mullerov I.
54. Galimov T.	97. Kulyabin A.
17. Ivanov D.	12. Mishin V.
82. Khoruzhev D.	71. Laptev V.
Line 3
71. Shatin S.	33. Agafonov M. (A)
47. Kolchin T.	73. Katin M.
94. Bokarev I. (C)	29. Zhurun Y.
34. Ismagilov K.	10. Shcherbakov K.
98. Martyanov D.	17. Burov Y.
Line 4
56. Zakirov A.	23. Guryev S.
19. Karimov A.	76. Belyakov K.
12. Morozov D.	72. Vogelnest M.
37. Sadykov I.	5. Gornov S.
	8. Kozin V.
Substitutes
96. Pravosudov G.	74. Sabitov M. (G)
90. Subbotin K. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
03:29, 0 - 1, Kulyabin A. (G), Shcherbakov K. (A), Mishin V. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sputnik Almetyevsk won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Sputnik Almetyevsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Sputnik Almetyevsk has had a series of home games.

Recently, Chaika has had a series of away games.

In this match, Chaika is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sputnik Almetyevsk won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 51:71. (average 2.6:3.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Sputnik Almetyevsk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 25:41. (average 2.3:3.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Chaika - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 65.14%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sputnik Almetyevsk
MHL
10.09.26	Reaktor - Sputnik Almetyevsk	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
26.08.26	Sputnik Almetyevsk - Irbis Kazan	1:4 ✺
25.08.26	Sputnik Almetyevsk - Loko-76	4:5 penalties ✺
24.08.26	Sputnik Almetyevsk - Molot Perm	4:2 ✺
19.08.26	Sputnik Almetyevsk - Reaktor	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 WLLWW
- Chaika Nizhny Novgorod
MHL
15.09.26	Reaktor - Chaika	3:4 ✺
07.09.26	Chaika - Irbis Kazan	3:5 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
19.08.26	Irbis Kazan - Chaika	3:2 ✺
18.08.26	Sputnik Almetyevsk - Chaika	3:4 ✺
16.08.26	Avto - Chaika	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Ice Hockey
18.08.26	Sputnik Almetyevsk - Chaika	3:4
MHL
16.02.26	Sputnik Almetyevsk - Chaika	2:3 penalties
27.01.26	Chaika - Sputnik Almetyevsk	4:3
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
16.08.25	Sputnik Almetyevsk - Chaika	2:6
MHL
11.03.25	Chaika - Sputnik Almetyevsk	5:4
18.01.25	Sputnik Almetyevsk - Chaika	1:3
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
15.08.24	Chaika - Sputnik Almetyevsk	3:2

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