The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Omskye Yastreby 27.9%
Draw 22.8%
Chaika 49.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
34.5%
23.5%
41.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.2%
24.6%
39.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Omskye Yastreby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Omskye Yastreby's form might have worsened.
Chaika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chaika's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omskye Yastreby than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Omskye Yastreby, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chaika than the current prediction. (-10%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chaika, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Omskye Yastreby - Chaika Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
31. Ivchenko D. (G)
31. Suchkov D. (G)
22. Moiseyev M. (C)
65. Chesnokov I. (C)
14. Chernochub P. (A)
19. Anisimov A.
70. Ishkov D.
97. Kulyabin A.
8. Laman R. (A)
12. Mishin V.
56. Trofimchuk Y.
16. Bessonov A.
Line 2
53. Teplyakov K.
23. Guryev S.
81. Mozzhukhin V.
76. Belyakov K.
9. Tkachyov Y.
75. Melnikov Y.
69. Kosenko B.
10. Shcherbakov K.
98. Korzik S.
17. Burov Y.
Line 3
26. Krivonozhkin M.
33. Agafonov M. (A)
33. Zavadsky A.
73. Katin M.
45. Krivko A.
7. Maximov R.
44. Karpov S.
15. Matyuk A.
93. Brazhnikov Z.
9. Skvortsov S. (A)
Line 4
2. Yurchuk A.
34. Volkov S.
71. Zheltonozhko M.
71. Laptev V.
11. Katchenko T.
5. Gornov S.
37. Kirsanov M.
8. Kozin V.
Substitutes
32. Plotnikov Y. (G)
74. Sabitov M. (G)
17. Tolegen D.
29. Zhurun Y.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (3 - 2)
00:31, 0 - 1, Shcherbakov K. (G), Melnikov Y. (A), Burov Y. (A2)
01:03, 1 - 1, Moiseyev M. (G),
04:44, 2 - 1, Zavadsky A. (G), Laman R. (A), Trofimchuk Y. (A2)
14:50, 2 - 2, Matyuk A. (G), Maximov R. (A), Skvortsov S. (A2)
14:59, 3 - 2, Mozzhukhin V. (G), Laman R. (A), Teplyakov K. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
02:34, 3 - 3, Maximov R. (G), Skvortsov S. (A), Melnikov Y. (A2)
11:09, 4 - 3, Karpov S. (G), Krivko A. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
09:23, 4 - 4, Mishin V. (G), Laptev V. (A), Anisimov A. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
04:37, 5 - 4, Laman R. (G), Trofimchuk Y. (A), Zavadsky A. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Omskye Yastreby won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Omskye Yastreby may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Omskye Yastreby has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
Recently, Chaika has had a run of games away from home.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Chaika holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Omskye Yastreby has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 53:52 (averaging 2.7:2.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Omskye Yastreby against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 34:23 goals (averaging 3.4:2.3 per game).