Match Info

MHL - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 15 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Sportova Akademia Avangard (Omsk)


	Omskye Yastreby		Chaika

	1	X	2
	2.05	4.2	3.3
	2.04	3.96	3.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (2.04)	4.08 ↑ (3.93)	3.19 ↑ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Omskye Yastreby
46.7%

Draw
23.4%

Chaika
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

23.8%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

24.1%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Omskye Yastreby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Chaika has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Omskye Yastreby than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaika than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Omskye Yastreby - Chaika Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
55. Yunin I. (G)	74. Sabitov M. (G)
67. Mudrik Y.	44. Yatsenko A.
4. Chernochub P.	28. Gavrilov L.
23. Levchenko L.	17. Salnikov L.
10. Kharionov N.	12. Mishin V.
12. Korzin V.	16. Bessonov A.
Line 2
50. Mozzhukhin V.	65. Chesnokov I.
33. Zavadsky A.	81. Mullerov I.
24. Kosenko B.	75. Melnikov Y.
73. Kazantsev R.	15. Matyuk A.
72. Malov D.	9. Skvortsov S.
Line 3
26. Krivonozhkin M.	23. Guryev S.
6. Stepanov S.	19. Anisimov A.
27. Kuryanov A.	93. Pugachyov G.
18. Laman R.	41. Fyodorov V.
30. Sklokin M.	91. Opolinsky M.
Line 4
45. Krivko A.	76. Belyakov K.
21. Grigoryev I.	8. Kozin V.
98. Safin R.	7. Glazunov M.
93. Moruzhov D.	5. Gornov S.
95. Fiskov D.	71. Laptev V.
Substitutes
31. Ivchenko D. (G)	30. Gritsenko Y. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
07:58, 1 - 0, Chernochub P. (G), Malov D. (A), Moruzhov D. (A2)
11:10, 1 - 1, Melnikov Y. (G), Skvortsov S. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
10:58, 1 - 2, Gornov S. (G), Laptev V. (A),
14:45, 2 - 2, Levchenko L. (G), Mudrik Y. (A), Kharionov N. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (0 - 1)
1, Malov D. (Penalty Shot),
1, Skvortsov S. (Penalty Shot),
2, Mudrik Y. (Penalty Shot),
2, Melnikov Y. (Penalty Shot),
3, Levchenko L. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Omskye Yastreby won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Omskye Yastreby could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Omskye Yastreby will win today's game, with odds of 2.04.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Omskye Yastreby won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 61:56. (average 3.1:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Omskye Yastreby won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 42:28. (average 3.8:2.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Omskye Yastreby - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 45.89%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Omskye Yastreby
MHL
14.04.26	Omskye Yastreby - Chaika	4:0 ✺
10.04.26	Omskye Yastreby - Sibirskie Snaypery	3:1 ✺
08.04.26	Sibirskie Snaypery - Omskye Yastreby	4:3 ✺
07.04.26	Sibirskie Snaypery - Omskye Yastreby	2:4 ✺
04.04.26	Omskye Yastreby - Sibirskie Snaypery	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLWL
- Chaika Nizhny Novgorod
MHL
14.04.26	Omskye Yastreby - Chaika	4:0 ✺
10.04.26	Irbis Kazan - Chaika	0:3 ✺
08.04.26	Chaika - Irbis Kazan	2:3 OT ✺
07.04.26	Chaika - Irbis Kazan	2:3 OT ✺
04.04.26	Irbis Kazan - Chaika	2:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

MHL
14.04.26	Omskye Yastreby - Chaika	4:0
26.12.25	Omskye Yastreby - Chaika	3:1
25.12.25	Omskye Yastreby - Chaika	6:0
25.11.25	Chaika - Omskye Yastreby	3:2 penalties
24.11.25	Chaika - Omskye Yastreby	4:3
06.12.24	Chaika - Omskye Yastreby	2:1 OT
05.12.24	Chaika - Omskye Yastreby	4:2

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