Match Info

Maxa liga - Round 41

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Kalich Arena (Litomerice)


	Stadion Litoměřice		Frýdek-Místek

	1	X	2
	1.93	4.05	2.95	Watch
	2.17	4.22	2.68	Watch
	1.85	4	3
	2.13	3.84	2.72	Watch
	2.1	4	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.76)	4.02 ↓ (4.44)	2.79 ↓ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stadion Litoměřice
44.7%

Draw
22.6%

Frýdek-Místek
32.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.8%

20.9%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

21.9%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stadion Litoměřice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stadion Litoměřice's form might have worsened.

Frýdek-Místek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Frýdek-Místek's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stadion Litoměřice than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stadion Litoměřice, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frýdek-Místek than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Frýdek-Místek, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Stadion Litoměřice - Frýdek Místek Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Litoměřice (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
81. Volevecky T. (G)	77. Dolejs D. (G)
3. Suhrada J.	9. Byrtus D.
15. Zovinec D. (C)	41. Urbanec P.
29. Lang K.	76. Kofron D.
27. Kern J.	44. Ostrizek D. (A)
14. Costa K.	61. Klimek L. (C)
Line 2
6. Tuma J.	71. Prusek P.
5. Smetana O. (A)	7. Hrbas M.
20. Bernovsky J.	14. Izacky J.
88. Jelinek S.	94. Strondala V.
4. Plos L.	27. Kozlik M.
Line 3
28. Tomov N.	91. Teper J. (A)
78. Pavlak D.	37. Kalkis R.
19. Fiala S.	13. Svacina V.
94. Hujer J.	21. Tyczynski D.
9. Novak F.	24. Cedzo A.
Line 4
43. Samson O.	89. Haman F.
22. Pospisil J.	20. Volas P.
13. Spilka V.	47. Ramik M.
16. Chlan R.	29. Matiasko M.
	96. Gerych R.
Substitutes
45. Michajlov M. (G)	31. Schnattinger M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
09:24, 0 - 1, Strondala V. (G), Volas P. (A), Haman F. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
00:51, 1 - 1, Tuma J. (G), Bernovsky J. (A), Plos L. (A2)
06:33, 1 - 2, Ostrizek D. (G), Prusek P. (A),
13:39, 2 - 2, Chlan R. (G), Spilka V. (A), Pospisil J. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
09:24, 2 - 3, Kofron D. (G), Ostrizek D. (A), Cedzo A. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Litoměřice won 3.

Litoměřice is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Frýdek-Místek has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Litoměřice is the team to beat.

We predict that Litoměřice will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Litoměřice won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 70:53. (average 3.5:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Litoměřice won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:30. (average 3.4:3).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
4	Litomerice	15	8	1	2	4	53:39	28
8	Frydek-Mistek	15	4	2	3	6	44:49	19

Last Results with these Odds

Stadion Litoměřice - the odds 1.76 are the expected chance of winning is 52.77%, but this team recently wins 59% of matches with these odds.

Frýdek-Místek - the odds 3.53 are the expected chance of winning is 26.31%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stadion Litoměřice
Czech Maxa Liga
14.01.26	Stadion Litoměřice - Třebíč	3:0 ✺
10.01.26	Stadion Litoměřice - PSG Zlín	3:1 ✺
07.01.26	Tábor - Stadion Litoměřice	0:1 OT ✺
04.01.26	Stadion Litoměřice - Piráti Chomutov	5:1 ✺
29.12.25	ZUBR Přerov - Stadion Litoměřice	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWWL
- HC Frýdek-Místek
Czech Maxa Liga
14.01.26	Frýdek-Místek - Vsetín	2:3 ✺
10.01.26	Třebíč - Frýdek-Místek	1:2 penalties ✺
07.01.26	Frýdek-Místek - Kolín	2:1 ✺
04.01.26	PSG Zlín - Frýdek-Místek	2:0 ✺
29.12.25	Frýdek-Místek - Pardubice B	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Czech Maxa Liga
25.10.25	Stadion Litoměřice - Frýdek-Místek	8:6
13.09.25	Frýdek-Místek - Stadion Litoměřice	2:5
09.02.25	Stadion Litoměřice - Frýdek-Místek	2:3 penalties
27.12.24	Frýdek-Místek - Stadion Litoměřice	3:2 OT
03.11.24	Frýdek-Místek - Stadion Litoměřice	0:4
28.09.24	Stadion Litoměřice - Frýdek-Místek	2:3
28.02.24	Stadion Litoměřice - Frýdek-Místek	3:5

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