The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Stavanger Oilers 70.7%
Draw 15.3%
Sparta Warriors 14%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
68.7%
16.1%
15.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.9%
17.6%
16.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stavanger Oilers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
Sparta Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stavanger Oilers than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stavanger Oilers that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sparta Warriors than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Stavanger Oilers - Sparta Warriors Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1
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Lineups
Line 1
38. Holm H. (G)
32. Pietila B. (G)
51. Norstebo M.
7. Ponomarenko M. (C)
4. Ostby K.
18. Fagerudd M.
85. Karlsen C.
11. Jakobsson K.
16. Strandborg A. (A)
41. Ohman V.
26. Elvsveen P.
9. Hermansson J.
Line 2
23. Kosarev M.
33. Lilleberg J.
25. Watson C. (A)
6. Gloppen D.
18. Gran M.
22. Thoresen S.
8. Trettenes M. (C)
14. Knold H. (A)
29. Morrison C.
82. Eisenmenger M.
Line 3
6. Lunde F.
16. Rydqvist H.
82. Meisingset J.
8. Jacobsen N.
78. Henriksen A. T.
47. Johansen S.
76. Lokkeberg J.
25. Lalande F. (A)
64. Baanerud D.
86. Eliesen N.
Line 4
44. Ellis B.
10. Ekhaugen T.
15. Ekeland N. K.
21. Thomas A.
72. Bliss T.
26. Faret V.
27. Andrusiak Z.
37. Millen A.
Substitutes
70. McIntyre Z. (G)
31. Hagen Aarsund S. (G)
Coaches
. Gjose A.
. Holos J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 2)
08:15, 0 - 1, Eliesen N. (G), Johansen S. (A), Lalande F. (A2)
15:20, 0 - 2, Eliesen N. (G), Lalande F. (A), Ponomarenko M. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 2)
01:58, 0 - 3, Eisenmenger M. (G),
02:12, 0 - 4, Eliesen N. (Penalty Shot),
06:56, 1 - 4, Kosarev M. (G), Trettenes M. (A),
07:41, Watson C. (2 min),
08:06, Eliesen N. (2 min),
09:52, 2 - 4, Strandborg A. (G), Karlsen C. (A), Norstebo M. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
02:04, Ellis B. (2 min),
18:39, Fagerudd M. (5 min),
19:20, 3 - 4, Strandborg A. (G), Norstebo M. (A), Karlsen C. (A2)
19:37, Thoresen S. (2 min),
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ EHL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ EHL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stavanger won 2.
Stavanger is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Sparta has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Sparta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Stavanger is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stavanger won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 65:40. (average 3.3:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Stavanger won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 31:16. (average 3.1:1.6).
Outrights of Norwegian Ligaen Hockey for now
Stavanger: 14.36%
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
5
Stavanger
6
3
0
0
3
17:18
9
Last Results with these Odds
Stavanger Oilers - the odds 1.31 are the expected chance of winning is 68.73%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.
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Holm H. (G) 
Pietila B. (G) 
Ponomarenko M. (C) 
Fagerudd M. 
Ohman V. 
Kosarev M. 
Morrison C. 
Eisenmenger M. 
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