Match Info

EUROPE: ALPS HOCKEY LEAGUE

Date: 28 December 2023, Thursday


	Merano Junior		EHC Lustenau

	1	X	2
	2.25	4.5	2.25
	2.24	4.35	2.29
	2.2	4.96	2.5
	2.2	4.96	2.5
	2.38	4	2.38
	2.21	4.4	2.41
	2.24	4.4	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.31)	4.51 ↑ (4.43)	2.38 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Merano Junior
41%

Draw
20.4%

EHC Lustenau
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

20.7%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

19.5%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Merano Junior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

EHC Lustenau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merano Junior than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for EHC Lustenau than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Merano Junior - EHC Lustenau Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Merano will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Merano won 2.

Recent matches Merano is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lustenau is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Merano to win the game is with odds 2.31.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Merano won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 25-36.

Including matches at home between the teams Merano won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-17.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Merano Junior
Alps Hockey League
26.12.23	Tigers Bregenzerwald - Merano Junior	4:8 ✺
21.12.23	Merano Junior - Vipiteno	4:0 ✺
19.12.23	Merano Junior - Kitzbühel	4:5 ✺
09.12.23	Acroni Jesenice - Merano Junior	5:1 ✺
07.12.23	Merano Junior - Ritten-Renon	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.7 WWLLW
- EHC Lustenau
Alps Hockey League
26.12.23	EHC Lustenau - Gherdëina	6:2 ✺
21.12.23	EHC Lustenau - Cortina	2:3 penalties ✺
19.12.23	Tigers Bregenzerwald - EHC Lustenau	5:1 ✺
09.12.23	Fassa - EHC Lustenau	4:2 ✺
07.12.23	EHC Lustenau - Zell am See	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Alps Hockey League
14.10.23	EHC Lustenau - Merano Junior	7:10
16.02.23	EHC Lustenau - Merano Junior	4:1
26.01.23	Merano Junior - EHC Lustenau	2:6
22.12.22	Merano Junior - EHC Lustenau	5:4
29.10.22	EHC Lustenau - Merano Junior	8:2
22.01.22	EHC Lustenau - Merano Junior	Canceled
14.10.21	Merano Junior - EHC Lustenau	0:3

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