Match Info

World Championship - Play Offs - Final

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Avicii Arena (Stockholm)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	ORF Sport+
Canada	TSN 1, TSN+
Croatia	Arena Sport 2
Czech-republic	CT sport, CT sport Plus
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Kutonen, MTV 3, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1, MTV Urheilu 3, Viaplay, V Sport 1
Germany	Magenta Sport
Hungary	Sport 2
Latvia	LTV 7
Norway	Viaplay
Russia	MATCH! Igra
Slovakia	JOJ Play, JOJ Sport, JOJ
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	SRF 2, SRF 2
Ukraine	Suspilne Sport
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Usa	NHL Network


	Switzerland		USA

	1	X	2
	2.6	4.2	2.3	Watch
	2.54	4.2	2.35
	2.6	4.05	2.38
	2.61	4.13	2.35
	2.67	3.98	2.34	Watch
	2.7	4	2.05
	2.74	4.02	2.3	Watch
	2.6	4.05	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↓ (2.85)	4.08 ↓ (4.25)	2.31 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Switzerland
35.9%

Draw
23.2%

USA
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

22.1%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

20.8%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Switzerland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

USA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Switzerland than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for USA than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that USA could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	10%	50%

Switzerland - USA Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Switzerland will win (votes: 4 - 40%). USA will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for USA: 19% – 81%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Switzerland (votes: 3 - 30%). USA (votes: 7 - 70%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 6.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -1.5, OT - Switzerland (4.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Switzerland (votes: 4 - 36.4%). USA (votes: 7 - 63.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
63. Genoni L. (G) Zug	1. Swayman J. (G) Boston Bruins
14. Kukan D. Zurich	2. LaCombe J. Anaheim Ducks
71. Siegenthaler J. (A) New Jersey Devils	8. Werenski Z. (A) Columbus Blue Jackets
28. Meier T. New Jersey Devils	83. Garland C. Vancouver Canucks
62. Malgin D. Zurich	92. Cooley L. Utah Mammoth
85. Andrighetto S. (A) Zurich	9. Keller C. (C) Utah Mammoth
Line 2
43. Glauser A. (C) Lausanne	20. Peeke A. Boston Bruins
86. Moser J.J. Tampa Bay Lightning	76. Skjei B. (A) Nashville Predators
22. Niederreiter N. Winnipeg Jets	91. Nazar F. Chicago Blackhawks
10. Ambuhl A.	10. Beniers M. Seattle Kraken
21. Fiala K. Los Angeles Kings	72. Thompson T. Buffalo Sabres
Line 3
45. Fora M. Davos	7. Kesselring M. Utah Mammoth
54. Marti Ch. Zurich	73. Vlasic A. Chicago Blackhawks
88. Bertschy C. Fribourg	43. Smith W. San Jose Sharks
95. Moy T. Rapperswil-Jona	12. Pinto S. Ottawa Senators
73. Schmid S. Fribourg	19. Gauthier C. Anaheim Ducks
Line 4
56. Berni T. Servette	28. Buium Z. Denver Pioneers
9. Riat D. Lausanne	18. O'Connor D. Vancouver Canucks
17. Jager K. Lausanne	47. McCarron M. Nashville Predators
8. Knak S. Davos	23. Eyssimont M. Seattle Kraken
Substitutes
80. Baechler N. Zurich	35. Daccord J. (G) Seattle Kraken
34. Charlin S. (G) Servette	81. Doan J. Utah Mammoth
Coaches
. Fischer P.	. Warsofsky R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
08:32, Werenski Z. (2 min),
17:44, Andrighetto S. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
05:38, Garland C. (Penalty Shot),
19:03, Thompson T. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
13:45, Moser J.J. (2 min),
Overtime (0 - 1)
02:02, 0 - 1, Thompson T. (G), Cooley L. (A), Skjei B. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Switzerland won 1.

Each of the two teams have built a series of wins lately.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Switzerland: Hischier N. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Switzerland won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:24. (average 2.4:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Switzerland hockey
IIHF World Championship
24.05.25	Switzerland - Denmark	7:0 ✺
22.05.25	Switzerland - Austria	6:0 ✺
20.05.25	Switzerland - Kazakhstan	4:1 ✺
18.05.25	Hungary - Switzerland	0:10 ✺
16.05.25	Switzerland - Norway	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWWW
- USA hockey
IIHF World Championship
24.05.25	Sweden - USA	2:6 ✺
22.05.25	USA - Finland	5:2 ✺
20.05.25	Czech Republic - USA	2:5 ✺
18.05.25	Kazakhstan - USA	1:6 ✺
17.05.25	USA - Germany	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

IIHF World Championship
12.05.25	USA - Switzerland	0:3
26.05.22	Switzerland - USA	0:3
Hockey Germany Cup
07.11.15	Switzerland - USA	4:5 OT
IIHF World Championship
14.05.15	USA - Switzerland	3:1
10.05.14	USA - Switzerland	3:2
Hockey Germany Cup
09.11.13	Switzerland - USA	4:5
IIHF World Championship
18.05.13	Switzerland - USA	3:0

Switzerland - USA: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide