The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
TWK Innsbruck 32%
Draw 20.9%
Vienna Capitals 47%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.3%
20.2%
50.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.9%
22%
54.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
TWK Innsbruck has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
Vienna Capitals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for TWK Innsbruck than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with TWK Innsbruck that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vienna Capitals than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vienna Capitals could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
TWK Innsbruck - Vienna Capitals Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
38. Harvey S. (G)
39. Reideborn A. (G)
59. Messner J. (A)
7. Bailen N.
77. Lindner P. (A)
5. Hackl D. (A)
47. Witting M. (C)
25. Gregoire J. (A)
96. Owre S.
19. Vey L. (C)
21. Benker S.
15. Lilja J.
Line 2
18. Mayer C.
92. Lindner L.
65. Kernberger M.
24. Bourque S.
20. Rappold K.
17. Kosmachuk S.
22. Davis B.
10. Gersich S.
63. Bretschneider N.
42. Lanzinger B.
Line 3
13. Frimmel W.
13. Steffler D.
12. Wichers Q.
55. Wolf R.
95. Scherbak N.
82. Peeters S.
16. Richards J.
9. Wallner L.
71. Macierzynski K.
34. Koschek F.
Line 4
5. Kerber N.
28. Felsinger L.
29. Klingler L.
37. Kromp C.
44. Mader T.
76. Antonitsch S.
89. Bar L.
Substitutes
81. Brandner J. (G)
36. Zimmermann M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
08:46, 1 - 0, Mayer C. (G), Kernberger M. (A), Benker S. (A2)
16:15, 1 - 1, Gersich S. (G), Vey L. (A), Lilja J. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
07:08, 1 - 2, Vey L. (G), Gersich S. (A), Bailen N. (A2)
13:45, 2 - 2, Benker S. (G), Owre S. (A), Richards J. (A2)
19:38, 2 - 3, Gregoire J. (G), Bailen N. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 2)
01:34, 2 - 4, Gersich S. (G), Bourque S. (A),
12:05, 3 - 4, Witting M. (G), Richards J. (A), Macierzynski K. (A2)
15:02, 4 - 4, Benker S. (G), Messner J. (A), Richards J. (A2)
16:04, 4 - 5, Gersich S. (G), Vey L. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Innsbruck won 0.
Innsbruck is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Vienna Capitals has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Recently, Vienna Capitals has had a run of games away from home.
Vienna Capitals is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Our forecast points to a victory for Innsbruck in today's match, at odds of 3.16.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Innsbruck has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 15 losses, with a goal aggregate of 49:84 (averaging 2.5:4.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Innsbruck against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with 25:43 goals (averaging 2.5:4.3 per game).
Outrights of Austrian Ice Hockey League for now
Vienna Capitals: 2.63% TWK Innsbruck: 0.84%
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
10
Vienna Capitals
8
2
2
1
3
24:24
11
11
TWK Innsbruck
9
3
1
0
5
22:26
11
Last Results with these Odds
TWK Innsbruck - the odds 3.16 are the expected chance of winning is 29.35%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
Vienna Capitals - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.4%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
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Harvey S. (G) 
Reideborn A. (G) 
Bailen N. 
Lindner P. (A) 
Scherbak N. 
