Match Info

ECHL

Date: 27 March 2026, Friday


	Tahoe Knight Monsters		Rapid City Rush

	1	X	2
	1.94	4.63	2.82	Watch
	1.89	4.45	2.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (1.94)	4.54 ↓ (4.64)	2.87 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tahoe Knight Monsters
47.9%

Draw
20.2%

Rapid City Rush
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

19.9%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

20.9%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tahoe Knight Monsters has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Rapid City Rush has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tahoe Knight Monsters than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rapid City Rush than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Tahoe Knight Monsters - Rapid City Rush Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Papirny J. (G)	31. Murphy C. (G)
19. Adam L.	76. Bernard X.
7. Alger L.	4. Birnie B.
25. Bailey C.	43. Bowman P.
48. Collins A.	21. Buhl C.
16. Durflinger J.	29. Chyzowski R. (A)
63. Henault L.	10. Colella M. (C)
26. Huo S.	82. Davis B. (A)
4. Leblanc O.	74. Donohoe H.
95. Mayer S.	26. Fyten S.
15. McGrew J.	72. Hanus C.
23. Ness T.	51. Olson Q.
10. O'Leary M.	23. Parker E.
65. Paliani D.	3. Pilon D.
21. Pitters A.	15. Russell B.
92. Stanick S.	8. Smedsrud C.
76. Swick T.	22. Smith M.
5. Taylor K.	91. Tymkin C.
94. Wall K.	14. Wood B.
Substitutes
30. Basse D. (G)	33. DiMatteo R. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
17:28, 0 - 1, Chyzowski R. (G), Smedsrud C. (A), Olson Q. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
07:17, 0 - 2, Olson Q. (G), Russell B. (A), Birnie B. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 3)
06:48, 1 - 2, Ness T. (G), Bailey C. (A), Wall K. (A2)
08:41, 2 - 2, Swick T. (G), Adam L. (A), Mayer S. (A2)
15:11, 3 - 2, Henault L. (G), McGrew J. (A), Bailey C. (A2)
15:28, 3 - 3, Davis B. (G), Wood B. (A), Smith M. (A2)
16:58, 3 - 4, Davis B. (G), Buhl C. (A),
19:45, 3 - 5, Buhl C. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tahoe won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Tahoe will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tahoe won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:24. (average 3.2:4).

Including home match between the teams, Tahoe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4.

Last Results with these Odds

Rapid City Rush - the odds 2.82 are the expected chance of winning is 32.67%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tahoe Knight Monsters
ECHL
22.03.26	Toledo Walleye - Tahoe Knight Monsters	3:4 OT ✺
21.03.26	Toledo Walleye - Tahoe Knight Monsters	1:4 ✺
20.03.26	Toledo Walleye - Tahoe Knight Monsters	4:3 ✺
14.03.26	Tahoe Knight Monsters - Kansas City Mavericks	1:8 ✺
13.03.26	Tahoe Knight Monsters - Kansas City Mavericks	5:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWLLL
- Rapid City Rush
ECHL
22.03.26	Kalamazoo Wings - Rapid City Rush	6:1 ✺
21.03.26	Kalamazoo Wings - Rapid City Rush	2:3 ✺
20.03.26	Kalamazoo Wings - Rapid City Rush	3:2 ✺
14.03.26	Rapid City Rush - Wichita Thunder	3:2 ✺
13.03.26	Rapid City Rush - Wichita Thunder	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ECHL
14.02.26	Rapid City Rush - Tahoe Knight Monsters	6:3
13.02.26	Rapid City Rush - Tahoe Knight Monsters	6:3
31.12.25	Rapid City Rush - Tahoe Knight Monsters	4:3 penalties
05.11.25	Rapid City Rush - Tahoe Knight Monsters	4:5 OT
06.03.25	Tahoe Knight Monsters - Rapid City Rush	5:4

Tahoe Knight Monsters - Rapid City Rush: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide