Match Info

Hokiliiga

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday


	Tartu Välk 494		Narva PSK

	1	X	2
	2.4	6.1	1.89
	2.35	6.25	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.38)	6.18 ↑ (6.05)	1.88 ↑ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 11%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tartu Välk 494
37.7%

Draw
14.5%

Narva PSK
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

14.7%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

14.2%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tartu Välk 494 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

The chances for Narva PSK have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tartu Välk 494 than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Narva PSK than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
3rd Period (2 - 3)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Välk 494 won 3.

Recent performances by Välk 494 have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Narva is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Välk 494 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Välk 494 won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 97:102. (average 4.9:5.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Välk 494 won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 63:57. (average 5.7:5.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tartu Välk 494
Estonian Hokiliiga
13.12.25	Kohtla-Järve Viru Sputnik - Tartu Välk 494	2:3 ✺
06.12.25	Tartu Välk 494 - Vipers Tallinn	5:1 ✺
29.11.25	Tartu Välk 494 - Kohtla-Järve Viru Sputnik	1:8 ✺
22.11.25	Everest Kohtla-Järve - Tartu Välk 494	2:5 ✺
08.11.25	Narva PSK - Tartu Välk 494	2:1 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WWLWL
- Narva PSK
Estonian Hokiliiga
06.12.25	Narva PSK - Everest Kohtla-Järve	5:4 OT ✺
23.11.25	Kohtla-Järve Viru Sputnik - Narva PSK	4:5 OT ✺
15.11.25	Narva PSK - Vipers Tallinn	11:0 ✺
08.11.25	Narva PSK - Tartu Välk 494	2:1 OT ✺
01.11.25	Everest Kohtla-Järve - Narva PSK	2:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Hokiliiga
08.11.25	Narva PSK - Tartu Välk 494	2:1 OT
06.04.25	Narva PSK - Tartu Välk 494	2:7
05.04.25	Narva PSK - Tartu Välk 494	2:7
30.03.25	Tartu Välk 494 - Narva PSK	2:5
29.03.25	Tartu Välk 494 - Narva PSK	4:2
22.02.25	Narva PSK - Tartu Välk 494	8:1
04.01.25	Tartu Välk 494 - Narva PSK	10:2

Upcoming Matches