The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Toledo Walleye 47.4%
Draw 21.1%
Cincinnati Cyclones 31.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.7%
20.3%
32%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.3%
23.1%
28.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toledo Walleye has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Cincinnati Cyclones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toledo Walleye than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toledo Walleye, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati Cyclones than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Toledo Walleye - Cincinnati Cyclones Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Gylander C. (G)
35. Appleby K. (G)
5. Andrews N.
91. Bernier G.
88. Cichosz C.
17. Grainger L.
7. Craggs S. (A)
63. Helgeson M.
12. Dickinson T.
37. Henry K.
22. Funk R.
18. Jaworski J.
29. Gaffney K.
10. Johnson J. (A)
9. Hausinger C.
12. Kidney L.
16. Hawkins B. (C)
45. Kirwan R.
21. Hutcheson N.
82. Kydd A.
67. Lewandowski M.
5. Ludtke G.
4. MacKinnon W.
77. Murray J.
26. McCourt R.
3. Parsons R.
37. Moulton D.
62. Portillo J.
79. Roy N.
26. Rheaume N. (A)
24. Swoyer C. (A)
19. Sikic M.
20. Truscott J.
24. Smolinski M.
62. Van Wyhe G.
46. Vaive J. (C)
27. Waldron J.
33. Vilio E.
Substitutes
30. Jurusik M. (G)
30. Scarfone T. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 2)
07:29, 0 - 1, Johnson J. (G), Jaworski J. (A),
08:13, 0 - 2, Murray J. (G), Bernier G. (A), Sikic M. (A2)
10:52, 1 - 2, Andrews N. (G), Dickinson T. (A), Hausinger C. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
00:15, 1 - 3, Kirwan R. (G), Rheaume N. (A), Jaworski J. (A2)
03:47, 2 - 3, Van Wyhe G. (G), Hausinger C. (A), Truscott J. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
02:36, 3 - 3, Hawkins B. (G), Dickinson T. (A), Gaffney K. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
02:38, 3 - 4, Grainger L. (G), Smolinski M. (A), Kydd A. (A2)
Preview
Toledo is Qualified for ECHL (Play Offs )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toledo won 2.
Recent performances by Toledo have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Cincinnati is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Toledo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Cincinnati has had a series of away games.
Toledo might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toledo won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 73:64. (average 3.7:3.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Toledo won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 29:22. (average 4.1:3.1).
Last Results with these Odds
Toledo Walleye - the odds 1.93 are the expected chance of winning is 47.65%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
Cincinnati Cyclones - the odds 2.87 are the expected chance of winning is 32.05%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.