The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Toledo Walleye 47.5%
Draw 21.7%
Iowa Heartlanders 30.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.7%
21.3%
31%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.9%
27.6%
23.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toledo Walleye has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Iowa Heartlanders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toledo Walleye than the current prediction. (+14.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toledo Walleye, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iowa Heartlanders than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Iowa Heartlanders, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Toledo Walleye - Iowa Heartlanders Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Gylander C. (G)
35. Rousseau W. (G)
5. Andrews N.
42. Butler C.
7. Craggs S.
26. Carabin N.
12. Dickinson T.
7. Coughlin L.
16. Hawkins B.
27. Firriolo A.
23. Keenan C.
10. Jeri-Leon K.
78. Kelly T.
21. Johnson I.
28. Kruse B.
47. Koethe M.
67. Lewandowski M.
44. Leskovar S.
4. MacKinnon W.
23. McDermott E.
26. McCourt R.
11. McGuire R.
11. Michaelian B.
36. Miura Y.
21. Mosley R.
15. Mobley L.
6. Palocsik T.
24. Nelson J.
79. Roy N.
88. Osterberg K.
8. Smirnov D.
12. Patterson M.
20. Truscott J.
9. Sop M.
62. Van Wyhe G.
17. Sorenson J.
27. Waldron J.
22. Stewart T.
Substitutes
30. Jurusik M. (G)
67. Mercer R. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
03:46, 1 - 0, Kelly T. (G), Michaelian B. (A), Van Wyhe G. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
08:57, 2 - 0, Van Wyhe G. (G), Lewandowski M. (A), McCourt R. (A2)
16:04, 3 - 0, Lewandowski M. (G), Kelly T. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toledo won 3.
Recent form of Toledo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Iowa is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Toledo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Toledo has had a series of away games.
Recently, Iowa has had a series of home games.
Toledo will hold a modest advantage in this match.
We predict that Iowa will win today's game, with odds of 2.97.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Toledo won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 68:38. (average 3.6:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Toledo won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 39:19. (average 3.9:1.9).
Last Results with these Odds
Toledo Walleye - the odds 1.93 are the expected chance of winning is 47.67%, but this team recently wins 69% of matches with these odds.
Iowa Heartlanders - the odds 2.97 are the expected chance of winning is 30.98%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Gylander C. (G) 
Andrews N. 
Miura Y. 
Smirnov D. 
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