Match Info

VHL

Date: 1 October 2026, Thursday


	Izhstal		AKM

	1	X	2
	2.98	3.52	1.93
	2.9	3.45	1.88
	3.16	4	2	Watch
	3.05	3.9	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.78)	3.72 ↓ (3.9)	1.95 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Izhstal
29.7%

Draw
24.1%

AKM
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

24%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

25.6%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Izhstal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

AKM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Izhstal than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Izhstal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AKM than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AKM, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Izhstal - AKM Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. AKM (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
59. Sukhachyov V. (G)	60. Kanarsky I. (G)
23. Glebov G.	3. Morozov Y.
50. Zhdanov Y.	23. Mineyev M.
9. Zhabreyev A.	11. Rakhimullin D.
10. Astashevsky S.	38. Shipov I.
87. Gordin A.	61. Gorshkov A.
Line 2
3. Zubarev A.	52. Motygullin B.
27. Sapunov V.	67. Ivanov G.
69. Maklozyan Y.	29. Kaburov G.
78. Komaristy A.	65. Anuchin N.
97. Kozhukhov I.	95. Seliverstov A.
Line 3
32. Rogov I.	25. Kramarenko Y.
89. Yatsenko A.	86. Faizullin A.
7. Pukelo K.	7. Khanin M.
19. Alekseev A.	9. Sato Y.
39. Kovalyov A.	24. Bryukvin V.
Line 4
36. Martynov K.	17. Trishin A.
11. Kochurov D.	32. Babenko A.
13. Piskunov P.	15. Yermakov Y.
28. Rakcheyev N.	21. Kodola V.
	55. Suvorov A.
Substitutes
71. Dolgopyatov N.	40. Korzin Y. (G)
33. Lysenkov N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
11:41, 0 - 1, Gorshkov A. (G),
2nd Period (3 - 0)
04:49, 1 - 1, Zhdanov Y. (G), Kovalyov A. (A), Alekseev A. (A2)
16:16, 2 - 1, Komaristy A. (G), Zhdanov Y. (A), Alekseev A. (A2)
17:07, 3 - 1, Sapunov V. (G), Kozhukhov I. (A), Zubarev A. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
06:08, 3 - 2, Gorshkov A. (G), Mineyev M. (A), Shipov I. (A2)
19:41, 3 - 3, Shipov I. (G),
Overtime (1 - 0)
02:00, 4 - 3, Zhdanov Y. (G), Alekseev A. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Izhstal won 2.

Izhstal is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by AKM have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

AKM may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, AKM has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Izhstal has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:29 (averaging 2.4:2.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Izhstal against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 13:14 goals (averaging 2.6:2.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
5	AKM	12	7	0	3	2	38:29	17
29	Izhevsk	11	1	2	1	7	25:34	7

Last Results with these Odds

AKM - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 42.23%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Izhstal Izhevsk
VHL
29.09.26	Izhstal - Ryazan	3:2 penalties ✺
20.09.26	Bars Kazan - Izhstal	4:3 ✺
18.09.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Izhstal	2:0 ✺
16.09.26	CSK VVS Samara - Izhstal	4:1 ✺
11.09.26	Izhstal - Khimik	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLLL
- AKM Tula
VHL
29.09.26	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - AKM	4:3 OT ✺
25.09.26	AKM - Kristall Saratov	7:2 ✺
23.09.26	AKM - Dizel Penza	5:2 ✺
19.09.26	AKM - Tambov	7:5 ✺
17.09.26	AKM - Buran Voronezh	1:1 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
14.02.26	AKM - Izhstal	2:7
28.09.25	Izhstal - AKM	3:1
15.02.25	Izhstal - AKM	3:4 penalties
06.10.24	AKM - Izhstal	3:0
15.12.23	Izhstal - AKM	1:4
25.10.23	AKM - Izhstal	3:1
11.12.22	AKM - Izhstal	4:1

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