Match Info

VHL

Date: 9 February 2026, Monday

Location: Ledovy Dvorets (Neftekamsk)


	Toros Neftekamsk		Neftyanik Almetyevsk

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.68	1.97
	3.52	4.15	1.85	Watch
	3.5	4	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↑ (2.62)	3.94 ↑ (3.66)	1.85 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toros Neftekamsk
26.9%

Draw
23.4%

Neftyanik Almetyevsk
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

23.9%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

26.2%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toros Neftekamsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toros Neftekamsk's form might have worsened.

Neftyanik Almetyevsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Neftyanik Almetyevsk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toros Neftekamsk than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toros Neftekamsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftyanik Almetyevsk than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Neftyanik Almetyevsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Toros Neftekamsk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Neftyanik Almetyevsk (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Yelin I. (G)	37. Nosov G. (G)
85. Budnitsky V. (A)	4. Chetverikov D.
9. Orlov G.	49. Khamidullin D. (C)
87. Faizov A.	88. Bulatov A.
22. Sorokin Y. (A)	63. Platonov Y.
79. Nabiev A.	9. Bykov M.
Line 2
4. Chebotaryov V. (C)	38. Garaishin I.
33. Agafonov M.	97. Myasishchev I.
10. Kolesnikov S.	59. Terekhov S.
81. Volokitin P.	18. Korotkov B.
56. Suvorov A.	99. Zhulin T.
Line 3
52. Kolganov A.	75. Ionov S.
89. Shcherbakov N.	8. Mulyukov I.
44. Khvorov N.	32. Yakupov R.
25. Valeyev T.	17. Kulikov P. (A)
17. Sychyov V.	71. Shakirov R.
Line 4
36. Gunkin Y.	55. Semyonov G.
38. Skoropad N.	87. Rakhimullin A.
72. Zavizhsky M.	19. Khlopotov V. (A)
93. Gimbatov R.	77. Marushev M.
Substitutes
24. Andreichenko V.	73. Nazarov Y. (G)
30. Zhigalov I. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
02:49, 1 - 0, Faizov A. (G), Sorokin Y. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 2)
01:59, 1 - 1, Terekhov S. (G), Kulikov P. (A), Myasishchev I. (A2)
12:27, 1 - 2, Chetverikov D. (G), Kulikov P. (A), Shakirov R. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
17:34, 2 - 2, Faizov A. (G), Sorokin Y. (A), Nabiev A. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 1)
1, Nabiev A. (Penalty Shot),
1, Bulatov A. (Penalty Shot),
2, Sorokin Y. (Penalty Shot),
2, Platonov Y. (Penalty Shot),
3, Sychyov V. (Penalty Shot),
3, Terekhov S. (Penalty Shot),
4, Faizov A. (Penalty Shot),
4, Marushev M. (Penalty Shot),
5, Khvorov N. (Penalty Shot),
5, Shakirov R. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toros won 1.

Toros has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Neftyanik Almetyevsk is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Neftyanik Almetyevsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Neftyanik Almetyevsk has had a series of home games.

Neftyanik Almetyevsk could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toros won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 52:78. (average 2.6:3.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Toros won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 3.3:3.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Almetyevsk	13	6	4	0	3	38:23	20
13	Toros Neftekamsk	12	6	0	2	4	30:29	14

Last Results with these Odds

Toros Neftekamsk - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 33.4%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Neftyanik Almetyevsk - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 42.69%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toros Neftekamsk
VHL
07.02.26	Toros Neftekamsk - CSK VVS Samara	2:4 ✺
05.02.26	Toros Neftekamsk - Bars Kazan	4:3 OT ✺
30.01.26	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Toros Neftekamsk	1:4 ✺
28.01.26	SKA-VMF - Toros Neftekamsk	4:2 ✺
24.01.26	Toros Neftekamsk - Norilsk	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWWLW
- Neftyanik Almetyevsk
VHL
07.02.26	Izhstal - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	1:5 ✺
03.02.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Kristall Saratov	4:5 OT ✺
01.02.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Dizel Penza	4:3 ✺
30.01.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Ryazan	5:2 ✺
28.01.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - AKM	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
14.10.25	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Toros Neftekamsk	2:0
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
12.08.25	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Toros Neftekamsk	8:2
VHL
27.01.25	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Toros Neftekamsk	2:4
26.10.24	Toros Neftekamsk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	4:5 penalties
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
22.08.24	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Toros Neftekamsk	6:3
11.08.24	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Toros Neftekamsk	4:2
VHL
15.01.24	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Toros Neftekamsk	4:1

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