Match Info

VHL

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Khokkeynyy Gorod (Saint Petersburg)


	SKA-VMF		Toros Neftekamsk

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.58	2.63
	2.48	3.83	2.48	Watch
	2.35	3.75	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.51)	3.72 ↓ (3.79)	2.5 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SKA-VMF
38.5%

Draw
24.8%

Toros Neftekamsk
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

24.2%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

26.7%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SKA-VMF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Toros Neftekamsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA-VMF than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toros Neftekamsk than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

SKA VMF - Toros Neftekamsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
74. Podlyagin N. (G)	1. Yelin I. (G)
14. Shekhovtsov Y. (A)	85. Budnitsky V. (A)
47. Zelenov Y.	36. Gunkin Y.
97. Nugmanov A.	56. Suvorov A.
38. Gurzanov Y. (A)	22. Sorokin Y. (A)
91. Lutfullin I.	79. Nabiev A.
Line 2
84. Vydrenkov I.	4. Chebotaryov V. (C)
80. Gryaznov G. (C)	33. Agafonov M.
39. Kuzminov Y.	38. Skoropad N.
83. Shamshurin S.	81. Volokitin P.
85. Kapchuk S.	80. Galiyev E.
Line 3
21. Kalinin N.	52. Kolganov A.
63. Anisimov S.	89. Shcherbakov N.
96. Kabat M.	44. Khvorov N.
17. Kabush M.	17. Sychyov V.
23. Osipov G.	24. Andreichenko V.
Line 4
27. Sapunov V.	45. Kurbanov Z.
11. Gorbushin M.	46. Yelsukov F.
82. Mamaladze D.	10. Kolesnikov S.
56. Khanin M.	25. Valeyev T.
	93. Gimbatov R.
Substitutes
60. Belousov B. (G)	49. Braginsky D. (G)
6. Marchenko T.
52. Moysevich P. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
00:32, 1 - 0, Gurzanov Y. (G), Nugmanov A. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
01:44, 2 - 0, Vydrenkov I. (G), Kapchuk S. (A), Kuzminov Y. (A2)
03:52, 2 - 1, Khvorov N. (G), Sychyov V. (A), Gunkin Y. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
09:50, 3 - 1, Nugmanov A. (G), Shekhovtsov Y. (A), Kabush M. (A2)
10:04, 3 - 2, Khvorov N. (G), Andreichenko V. (A), Gunkin Y. (A2)
12:28, 4 - 2, Kapchuk S. (G), Zelenov Y. (A), Shamshurin S. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SKA-VMF won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

SKA-VMF may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, SKA-VMF has had a series of away games.

Recently, Toros has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, SKA-VMF won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 64:55. (average 3.2:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, SKA-VMF won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 30:20. (average 3.3:2.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
13	Toros Neftekamsk	11	6	0	2	3	27:24	14
14	SKA-VMF St. Petersburg	11	5	2	0	4	27:21	14

Last Results with these Odds

Toros Neftekamsk - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 39.21%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SKA-VMF St. Petersburg
VHL
26.01.26	SKA-VMF - Izhstal	4:2 ✺
22.01.26	Kristall Saratov - SKA-VMF	1:4 ✺
20.01.26	Dizel Penza - SKA-VMF	4:0 ✺
18.01.26	Ryazan - SKA-VMF	4:0 ✺
16.01.26	AKM - SKA-VMF	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWLLW
- Toros Neftekamsk
VHL
24.01.26	Toros Neftekamsk - Norilsk	5:2 ✺
21.01.26	Toros Neftekamsk - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	3:2 OT ✺
19.01.26	Toros Neftekamsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	4:5 penalties ✺
17.01.26	Toros Neftekamsk - Dynamo-Altay	3:2 ✺
12.01.26	Tambov - Toros Neftekamsk	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
23.10.25	Toros Neftekamsk - SKA-VMF	3:2 OT
18.03.25	SKA-VMF - Toros Neftekamsk	4:1
07.09.24	Toros Neftekamsk - SKA-VMF	2:4
29.11.23	Toros Neftekamsk - SKA-VMF	5:2
19.11.23	SKA-VMF - Toros Neftekamsk	6:2
11.01.23	SKA-VMF - Toros Neftekamsk	2:3
13.10.22	Toros Neftekamsk - SKA-VMF	4:3

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