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Current Win Probability
Toros Neftekamsk 30.5%
Draw 25%
Torpedo-Gorky 44.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.2%
23.6%
34.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.4%
22.9%
33.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toros Neftekamsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toros Neftekamsk's form might have worsened.
Torpedo-Gorky has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Torpedo-Gorky's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toros Neftekamsk than the current prediction. (+12.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toros Neftekamsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torpedo-Gorky than the current prediction. (-11.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Torpedo-Gorky, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
50%
25%
Toros Neftekamsk - Torpedo Gorky Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Toros will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Torpedo-Gorky will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Zhigalov I. (G)
52. Dagestansky D. (G)
96. Gazimov I.
3. Steklov K.
85. Budnitsky V. (A)
24. Pelevin A.
17. Sychyov V.
97. Mayorov N.
22. Sorokin Y.
71. Rozhkov N. A.
79. Nabiev A.
67. Savunov D.
Line 2
33. Agafonov M.
33. Bochkov I. (C)
4. Chebotaryov V. (C)
28. Dryagilev A.
56. Suvorov A.
70. Gazizov R.
25. Valeyev T. (A)
58. Ilyin D. (A)
59. Korbit P.
78. Orlovich-Grudkov D.
Line 3
9. Orlov G.
59. Nikitin Y.
3. Shatilo I.
17. Alexandrov D.
10. Kolesnikov S.
9. Krutov A.
81. Volokitin P.
87. Opalev R. (A)
24. Andreichenko V.
75. Melnikov Y.
Line 4
38. Skoropad N.
5. Zharkov I.
46. Yelsukov F.
93. Pugachyov G.
14. Chyorny A.
84. Utkin M.
72. Zavizhsky M.
23. Chesnokov G.
80. Galiyev E.
Substitutes
49. Braginsky D. (G)
10. Odinokov S.
1. Zinaddin L. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
11:35, 0 - 1, Odinokov S. (G), Mayorov N. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
10:12, 1 - 1, Kolesnikov S. (G), Shatilo I. (A), Orlov G. (A2)
14:50, 1 - 2, Gazizov R. (G), Odinokov S. (A),
18:41, 1 - 3, Rozhkov N. A. (G),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
03:34, 1 - 4, Utkin M. (G),
15:14, 2 - 4, Valeyev T. (G),
Preview
Toros is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Torpedo-Gorky has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Toros may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Toros has had a series of away games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Toros won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).
Including home match between the teams, Toros won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
Last Results with these Odds
Toros Neftekamsk - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 42.2%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
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Zhigalov I. (G) 
Dagestansky D. (G) 
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