Match Info

WHL

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Toyota Center (Kennewick, WA) 🌤️ ...


	Tri-City Americans		Seattle Thunderbirds

	1	X	2
	2.5	4.65	2.2
	2.5	4.72	2.19	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.16)	4.69 ↑ (4.51)	2.2 ↓ (2.57)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tri-City Americans
37.4%

Draw
20%

Seattle Thunderbirds
42.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.1%

20.7%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

21.8%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tri-City Americans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tri-City Americans's form might have worsened.

Seattle Thunderbirds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Seattle Thunderbirds's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tri-City Americans than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tri-City Americans, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seattle Thunderbirds than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Seattle Thunderbirds, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tri City Americans - Seattle Thunderbirds Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tri-City (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Seattle (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tri-City (votes: 1 - 50%). Seattle (votes: 1 - 50%).

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Wendt X. (G)	31. Malinoski G. (G)
71. Abougouche I.	17. Bibeau E.
3. Adam J.	36. Cail C.
10. Bouchard A.	3. Cumby A. (A)
4. Byrne D.	9. Dunn C. (A)
12. Dale C.	16. England B.
66. Garland G. (A)	7. Gard M. (A)
19. Gudelj J.	23. Gramer J.
13. Kingerski C.	2. Hocher B.
73. Krcal D.	71. Kosick N.
20. Laing A.	27. Laraque M.
2. LeBret D.	22. Lovsin S. (C)
28. Martin G.	14. Mayes S.
17. McKinnon J.	26. Miller L.
27. Mykichuk M.	21. Mrtka R.
9. Pavao C.	88. Pekar M.
88. Racz T.	6. Popil V.
25. Vanecek J.	25. Riley T.
16. Virk S.	91. Schmidt C.
	74. Tash G.
Substitutes
35. Grout R. (G)	35. Sklenicka M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
09:49, 0 - 1, Gard M. (G), Schmidt C. (A), Dunn C. (A2)
15:55, 1 - 1, Virk S. (G), Gudelj J. (A),
17:48, 1 - 2, Pekar M. (G), Mrtka R. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 1)
01:45, 2 - 2, Gudelj J. (G), Virk S. (A), Vanecek J. (A2)
08:19, 3 - 2, Laing A. (G), Garland G. (A), Pavao C. (A2)
12:24, 3 - 3, Schmidt C. (G), Kosick N. (A), Dunn C. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
11:51, 4 - 3, Virk S. (G), Martin G. (A), Dale C. (A2)
18:41, 4 - 4, Dunn C. (G), Mrtka R. (A), Schmidt C. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 0)
1, Schmidt C. (Penalty Shot),
1, Pavao C. (Penalty Shot),
2, Kosick N. (Penalty Shot),
2, Virk S. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 10 and 9)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tri-City won 1.

Tri-City has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Seattle has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Seattle has had a series of away games.

Tri-City could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tri-City won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 54:75. (average 2.7:3.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Tri-City won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:26. (average 2.6:2.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Tri-City Americans - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 43.07%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Seattle Thunderbirds - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 36.27%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tri-City Americans
WHL
03.03.26	Tri-City Americans - Vancouver Giants	2:4 ✺
28.02.26	Spokane Chiefs - Tri-City Americans	5:2 ✺
27.02.26	Tri-City Americans - Spokane Chiefs	0:3 ✺
24.02.26	Tri-City Americans - Victoria Royals	3:4 OT ✺
22.02.26	Everett Silvertips - Tri-City Americans	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Seattle Thunderbirds
WHL
03.03.26	Kamloops Blazers - Seattle Thunderbirds	1:4 ✺
28.02.26	Seattle Thunderbirds - Everett Silvertips	2:3 OT ✺
27.02.26	Vancouver Giants - Seattle Thunderbirds	1:4 ✺
25.02.26	Kelowna Rockets - Seattle Thunderbirds	4:1 ✺
22.02.26	Portland Winterhawks - Seattle Thunderbirds	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

WHL
14.02.26	Tri-City Americans - Seattle Thunderbirds	1:2
13.02.26	Seattle Thunderbirds - Tri-City Americans	4:1
14.12.25	Tri-City Americans - Seattle Thunderbirds	4:3 penalties
20.09.25	Seattle Thunderbirds - Tri-City Americans	6:3
23.03.25	Tri-City Americans - Seattle Thunderbirds	2:3
16.03.25	Tri-City Americans - Seattle Thunderbirds	1:5
14.03.25	Seattle Thunderbirds - Tri-City Americans	6:3

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