Match Info

HockeyAllsvenskan

Date: 17 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: SP Arena (Ljungby)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Play


	Troja Ljungby		Mora

	1	X	2
	3.2	4.5	1.9
	2.84	4.24	2.13
	2.41	3.7	2.25
	2.98	4.09	2.04	Watch
	2.7	3.9	2
	2.68	3.95	2.16	Watch
	2.95	4.3	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.68)	4.1 (4.1)	2.08 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Troja Ljungby
32.8%

Draw
22.6%

Mora
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

22.7%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

23.2%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Troja Ljungby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Mora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troja Ljungby than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mora than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Troja Ljungby - Mora Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
35. Holm V. (G)	31. Hellgren M. (G)
41. Hallquisth T.	16. Karlstrom M. (A)
18. Hedberg T.	39. Gunnarsson K.
8. Nilsson A.	7. de Jong E.
19. McShane A.	29. MacEachern C.
96. Skager L.	26. Degerstedt A. (A)
Line 2
16. Froland D. (C)	50. Ekberg T. (C)
6. Ernstig C.	4. Fransson M.
73. Gradin A.	42. Tracey B.
83. Wikstrom J. (A)	71. Treloar T.
82. Forsmark F.	12. Bjorkman F.
Line 3
4. Wang Calle	49. Olerot J.
59. Wytinck Z.	54. Lindgren O.
20. Lennstrom F.	27. Larsson H.
13. Wemmenborn A. (A)	20. Weigelt G.
77. Wahlgren M.	67. Norback J.
Line 4
43. Arvedson A.	8. Olsson A.
62. Edwardsson C.	40. Johansson F.
10. Kakela L.	23. Olhaver G.
88. Hellstrom F.	11. Salmi-Lilja G.
Substitutes
37. Stalberg J. (G)	57. Breivold T. (G)
76. Wahlgren J.	28. Carlsson O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
04:47, 0 - 1, Weigelt G. (G), Karlstrom M. (A), Gunnarsson K. (A2)
06:20, 0 - 2, Bjorkman F. (G), Gunnarsson K. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
00:50, 0 - 3, Tracey B. (G), Bjorkman F. (A), MacEachern C. (A2)
02:24, 0 - 4, Olhaver G. (G), Salmi-Lilja G. (A),

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone HockeyAllsvenskan (Play Out: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ HockeyAllsvenskan (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Troja Ljungby won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

We predict that Troja Ljungby will win today's game, with odds of 2.64.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Troja Ljungby won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:41. (average 2:3.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Troja Ljungby won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:23. (average 3:3.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Mora - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.39%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Troja Ljungby
Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
12.12.25	Björklöven - Troja Ljungby	6:1 ✺
10.12.25	Västerås - Troja Ljungby	2:4 ✺
07.12.25	Troja Ljungby - Oskarshamn	3:1 ✺
05.12.25	Södertälje - Troja Ljungby	5:2 ✺
03.12.25	Troja Ljungby - Modo	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 LWWLW
- Mora IK
Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
12.12.25	Vimmerby - Mora	0:1 ✺
10.12.25	Mora - Nybro Vikings	4:2 ✺
07.12.25	Östersund - Mora	3:2 ✺
05.12.25	Mora - BIK Karlskoga	1:3 ✺
03.12.25	AIK - Mora	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
21.11.25	Troja Ljungby - Mora	2:5
17.10.25	Mora - Troja Ljungby	2:1
23.02.22	Troja Ljungby - Mora	7:6 penalties
21.02.22	Troja Ljungby - Mora	1:3
02.02.22	Mora - Troja Ljungby	5:0
03.12.21	Mora - Troja Ljungby	3:1
24.02.14	Troja Ljungby - Mora	5:4 penalties

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