Match Info

FINLAND: MESTIS - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo


	TuTo		Kiekko-Espoo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.4	4.25	2.35
	2.2	3.8	2.75
	2.3	4	2.45
	2.34	4	2.47
	2.38	3.95	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.75)	4 (4)	2.48 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TuTo
39.7%

Draw
23.1%

Kiekko-Espoo
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

22.9%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

19.7%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TuTo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in TuTo's performance.

Kiekko-Espoo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kiekko-Espoo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TuTo than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with TuTo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kiekko-Espoo than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kiekko-Espoo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

TuTo - Kiekko Espoo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
12:58, 0 - 1, Pietila N. (G), Hamalainen J. (A), Tuomaala A. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
09:28, 1 - 1, Suoranta S. (G), Keranen J. (A), Asplund T. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (1 - 0)
14:07, 2 - 1, Kerkkanen J. (G),

Preview

6th leg. Kiekko-Espoo leads series 3-2.

Last 5 head-to-head matches TuTo won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 20 head-to-head matches TuTo won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 47-64.

Including matches at home between the teams TuTo won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 25-34.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TuTo
Finnish Mestis
22.03.24	Kiekko-Espoo - TuTo	3:5 ✺
20.03.24	TuTo - Kiekko-Espoo	2:0 ✺
18.03.24	Kiekko-Espoo - TuTo	2:1 ✺
15.03.24	TuTo - Kiekko-Espoo	1:4 ✺
14.03.24	Kiekko-Espoo - TuTo	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWLLL
- Kiekko-Espoo
Finnish Mestis
22.03.24	Kiekko-Espoo - TuTo	3:5 ✺
20.03.24	TuTo - Kiekko-Espoo	2:0 ✺
18.03.24	Kiekko-Espoo - TuTo	2:1 ✺
15.03.24	TuTo - Kiekko-Espoo	1:4 ✺
14.03.24	Kiekko-Espoo - TuTo	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Mestis
22.03.24	Kiekko-Espoo - TuTo	3:5
20.03.24	TuTo - Kiekko-Espoo	2:0
18.03.24	Kiekko-Espoo - TuTo	2:1
15.03.24	TuTo - Kiekko-Espoo	1:4
14.03.24	Kiekko-Espoo - TuTo	5:0
27.02.24	TuTo - Kiekko-Espoo	2:1
13.01.24	Kiekko-Espoo - TuTo	1:2

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