Match Info

WCH IIIA

Date: 16 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Ice Station (Cape Town)


	Turkmenistan		Mexico

	1	X	2
	1.63	4.9	3.4
	1.64	5.5	3.1
	1.23	8.45	6.46	Watch
	1.5	4.6	4.2
	1.58	5.05	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.63)	5.7 ↑ (4.9)	4.18 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 8.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Turkmenistan
61.4%

Draw
16.3%

Mexico
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

18.4%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Turkmenistan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Turkmenistan's performance.

Mexico has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Turkmenistan - Mexico Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:4

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
00:43, 1 - 0, Dovletmuradov B. (G), Aganiyazov A. (A), Kakabayev E. (A2)
13:57, 2 - 0, Baymyradov B. (G), Vahovskiy A. (A), Baylyyev K. (A2)
17:47, 2 - 1, Majul H. (G), Valencia L. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
08:05, 3 - 1, Vahovskiy A. (G), Kakajanov S. (A), Baylyyev K. (A2)
14:49, 3 - 2, Valencia L. (G), Valencia A. (A), Rullan J. (A2)
15:12, 3 - 3, Rullan J. (G), Valencia L. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 2)
10:54, 3 - 4, Valencia A. (G), Majul H. (A),
14:53, 3 - 5, Soto Borja I. (G),
18:05, 4 - 5, Aganiyazov A. (G), Vahovskiy A. (A), Vahitov S. (A2)

Preview

In this match, Turkmenistan is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Turkmenistan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4.

Standings

2025

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	Turkmenistan	5	3	1	0	1	20:18	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Turkmenistan hockey
IIHF World Championship IIIA
14.04.26	Turkmenistan - Turkey	4:6 ✺
13.04.26	Turkmenistan - Bosnia and Herzegovina	3:4 ✺
27.04.25	Turkmenistan - South Africa	6:5 OT ✺
25.04.25	Turkmenistan - Kyrgyzstan	1:8 ✺
24.04.25	Luxembourg - Turkmenistan	3:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLWLW
- Mexico hockey
IIHF World Championship IIIA
14.04.26	Bosnia and Herzegovina - Mexico	4:3 OT ✺
13.04.26	Mexico - South Africa	5:4 OT ✺
IIHF World Championship IIIB
30.04.25	Mexico - Singapore	18:1 ✺
28.04.25	Mexico - Philippines	9:1 ✺
IIHF World Championship IIIA
16.03.24	Mexico - Turkmenistan	4:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

IIHF World Championship IIIA
16.03.24	Mexico - Turkmenistan	4:8

Turkmenistan - Mexico: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide