Match Info

MHL

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Tyumensky Legion		Molot Perm

	1	X	2
	4.3	4.62	1.68
	3.84	4.5	1.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.07 ↑ (3.47)	4.56 ↑ (4.3)	1.67 ↓ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tyumensky Legion
23.1%

Draw
20.6%

Molot Perm
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

21.4%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

22.3%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tyumensky Legion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Molot Perm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tyumensky Legion than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Molot Perm than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Molot Perm, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tyumensky Legion - Molot Perm Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
70. Ponomarev O. (G)	80. Yermashov F. (G)
79. Bykov N.	55. Kirzhatsky K.
26. Derechev P.	84. Bogdanov S.
98. Klochanov A.	98. Stefanov D.
72. Yepifanov M. (A)	16. Fedyayev D. (A)
47. Chizhikov N. (A)	87. Bashinsky M. (C)
Line 2
21. Babenko A.	13. Uzhva A.
74. Biketov D.	85. Martynenko D. (A)
91. Redko R.	35. Semenov I.
81. Karpov S.	29. Kalashnik M.
52. Yanovsky I. (C)	19. Makarov I.
Line 3
14. Shendrikov N.	97. Davydov V.
95. Lebedev A.	27. Sizov R.
60. Nurmagamedov R.	21. Bolotov A.
88. Vakhitov D.	88. Kuvshinov S.
15. Dubrovsky D.	95. Spiridonov D.
Line 4
	99. Smirnov D.
	5. Filippov A.
	69. Stepanov A.
	11. Komarov R.
	75. Skachkov Y.
Substitutes
29. Gomozov M. (G)	52. Vorobyov T. (G)
17. Pertsev D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 5)
02:59, 0 - 1, Stepanov A. (G),
07:19, 0 - 2, Kalashnik M. (G),
07:53, 0 - 3, Spiridonov D. (G), Sizov R. (A), Davydov V. (A2)
10:42, 0 - 4, Fedyayev D. (G), Bashinsky M. (A),
11:34, 0 - 5, Spiridonov D. (G), Sizov R. (A),
17:58, 1 - 5, Nurmagamedov R. (G), Dubrovsky D. (A), Dementyev L. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 3)
01:33, 2 - 5, Yanovsky I. (G), Karpov S. (A),
13:36, 2 - 6, Bashinsky M. (G),
15:56, 2 - 7, Stefanov D. (G), Fedyayev D. (A), Davydov V. (A2)
18:50, 2 - 8, Bolotov A. (G), Fedyayev D. (A), Spiridonov D. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 2)
06:05, 3 - 8, Derechev P. (G), Yepifanov M. (A), Dementyev L. (A2)
08:04, 3 - 9, Semenov I. (G),
17:02, 4 - 9, Dubrovsky D. (G), Vakhitov D. (A), Pertsev D. (A2)
17:38, 4 - 10, Stefanov D. (G), Fedyayev D. (A), Bashinsky M. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tyumensky Legion won 1.

Tyumensky Legion has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Molot has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Molot may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

Molot might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tyumensky Legion won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 38:63. (average 1.9:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Tyumensky Legion won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:29. (average 2.6:3.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tyumensky Legion
MHL
21.03.26	Molot Perm - Tyumensky Legion	5:2 ✺
18.03.26	Tyumensky Legion - Kuznetskie Medvedi	3:4 ✺
16.03.26	Tyumensky Legion - Omskye Yastreby	0:4 ✺
14.03.26	Tyumensky Legion - AKM Novomoskovsk	0:5 ✺
13.03.26	Tyumensky Legion - AKM Novomoskovsk	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- JHC Molot Perm
MHL
21.03.26	Molot Perm - Tyumensky Legion	5:2 ✺
19.03.26	Molot Perm - Omskye Yastreby	2:3 OT ✺
15.03.26	Kuznetskie Medvedi - Molot Perm	4:5 penalties ✺
10.03.26	Molot Perm - AKM Novomoskovsk	4:5 penalties ✺
09.03.26	Molot Perm - AKM Novomoskovsk	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

MHL
21.03.26	Molot Perm - Tyumensky Legion	5:2
18.09.25	Molot Perm - Tyumensky Legion	6:1
05.09.25	Tyumensky Legion - Molot Perm	3:4
30.01.25	Molot Perm - Tyumensky Legion	3:2 OT
27.12.24	Tyumensky Legion - Molot Perm	4:3
30.11.24	Molot Perm - Tyumensky Legion	3:1
02.10.24	Tyumensky Legion - Molot Perm	3:4 penalties

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