The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
UKH Unia Oświęcim 68.9%
Draw 17%
ComArch Cracovia 14.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.8%
19.6%
18.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.8%
19.6%
18.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UKH Unia Oświęcim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in UKH Unia Oświęcim's performance.
ComArch Cracovia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for UKH Unia Oświęcim than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UKH Unia Oświęcim that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for ComArch Cracovia than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
UKH Unia Oświęcim - ComArch Cracovia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1
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Lineups
Line 1
31. Tyczynski I. (G)
32. Lipiainen S. (G)
66. Valtola K.
77. Laitinen V.
12. Bizacki O.
24. Jaskiewicz O.
43. Nieminen O.
76. Airo J.
13. Ronkkonen J.
25. Montgomery S.
91. Wilkins M.
92. Valtola O.
Line 2
77. Ventela S.
86. Gorsanovs D.
93. Makela A.
98. Shkrabov A.
95. Nahunko D.
95. Kapica D.
34. Immonen S.
23. Berzins D.
25. Ahopelto E.
20. White J.
Line 3
9. Dyukov R.
5. Metel K.
4. Matthews L.
4. Jaracz M.
16. Soltys J.
11. Kot R.
15. Tyczynski D.
13. Dawid B.
26. Lewandowski J.
66. Slusarek J.
Line 4
6. Staniecko M.
9. Kapa D.
40. Moscicki M.
21. Mocarski K.
53. Platacz P.
38. Ubowski M.
44. Krzemien L.
97. Guminski S.
79. Kusak M.
Substitutes
70. Kusak J. (G)
70. Horawski A. (G)
15. Konarski J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 1)
08:05, 1 - 0, Valtola K. (G), Ronkkonen J. (A),
15:08, 1 - 1, Shkrabov A. (G), Kapica D. (A),
17:51, 2 - 1, Nieminen O. (G),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
04:20, 3 - 1, Nahunko D. (G), Immonen S. (A), Valtola K. (A2)
15:21, 4 - 1, Ahopelto E. (G), Nahunko D. (A), Bizacki O. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 1)
03:29, 5 - 1, Lewandowski J. (G),
10:42, 6 - 1, Ahopelto E. (G), Immonen S. (A),
16:14, 7 - 1, Lewandowski J. (G), Valtola K. (A), Wilkins M. (A2)
19:26, 7 - 2, Dawid B. (G), Jaskiewicz O. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unia won 5.
Unia has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Cracovia is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Cracovia may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Both teams have recently been through a demanding run of away matches.
The betting markets point to Unia as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Unia has recorded 16 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 70:46 (averaging 3.5:2.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Unia against this opponent, the record stands at 11 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 40:16 goals (averaging 3.6:1.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
6
Unia Oswiecim
7
3
1
1
2
32:24
12
7
Krakow
9
4
0
0
5
21:33
12
Last Results with these Odds
UKH Unia Oświęcim - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 61.78%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
ComArch Cracovia - the odds 5.02 are the expected chance of winning is 18.58%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.
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Tyczynski I. (G) 
Lipiainen S. (G) 
Montgomery S. 
Gorsanovs D. 
Shkrabov A. 
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