The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
UKH Unia Oświęcim 34.7%
Draw 22.1%
Zagłębie Sosnowiec 43.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
44.3%
22.1%
33.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42%
23%
35%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UKH Unia Oświęcim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that UKH Unia Oświęcim's form might have worsened.
Zagłębie Sosnowiec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zagłębie Sosnowiec's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for UKH Unia Oświęcim than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for UKH Unia Oświęcim, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagłębie Sosnowiec than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zagłębie Sosnowiec, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
UKH Unia Oświęcim - Zagłębie Sosnowiec Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
31. Tyczynski I. (G)
33. Kaarlehto K. (G)
66. Valtola K.
7. Olkkonen J.
5. Florczak B.
9. Bilas K.
26. Lewandowski J.
88. Savilahti E.
29. Marenis R.
27. Zachariasz O.
43. Nieminen O.
39. Dupuy J.
Line 2
40. Moscicki M.
77. Narog M.
77. Ventela S.
51. Wanacki J.
88. Jokinen J.
87. Peresunko A.
91. Wilkins M.
57. Heikkinen V.
25. Ahopelto E.
8. Chmielewski A.
Line 3
4. Matthews L.
6. Ciura B.
9. Dyukov R.
4. Krawczyk O.
95. Nahunko D.
13. Brynkus S.
34. Immonen S.
91. Seppala E.
79. Kusak M.
18. Roine M.
Line 4
6. Staniecko M.
10. Ciepielewski P.
16. Soltys J.
96. Musiol J.
44. Krzemien L.
94. Sirkia V.
53. Platacz P.
97. Dawid M.
98. Bernacki M.
Substitutes
70. Kusak J. (G)
21. Miarka M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (3 - 1)
00:15, 1 - 0, Lewandowski J. (G), Marenis R. (A),
04:05, 2 - 0, Kusak M. (G),
18:03, 2 - 1, Chmielewski A. (G), Heikkinen V. (A),
19:54, 3 - 1, Wilkins M. (G), Ventela S. (A), Ahopelto E. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
07:30, 4 - 1, Matthews L. (G),
15:34, 4 - 2, Heikkinen V. (G), Chmielewski A. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 2)
06:36, 5 - 2, Nieminen O. (G), Marenis R. (A), Jokinen J. (A2)
06:59, 6 - 2, Kusak M. (G), Moscicki M. (A), Nahunko D. (A2)
11:03, 6 - 3, Chmielewski A. (G), Peresunko A. (A), Heikkinen V. (A2)
20', 6 - 4, (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unia won 2.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Our forecast points to a victory for Unia in today's match, at odds of 2.7.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Unia has recorded 13 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 71:52 (averaging 3.6:2.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Unia against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 38:18 goals (averaging 4.2:2 per game).