Match Info

EUROPE: ALPS HOCKEY LEAGUE - LOSERS STAGE - ROUND 7

Date: 15 February 2024, Thursday


	Unterland Cavaliers		EHC Lustenau

	1	X	2
	2	4.1	2.7
	2	4.1	2.7
	2.02	4.36	3.02
	2	4	2.8
	2	4.4	2.78
	2	4.1	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.05)	4.18 ↑ (4.16)	2.8 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unterland Cavaliers
45.6%

Draw
21.9%

EHC Lustenau
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

22.1%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

21.6%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unterland Cavaliers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

EHC Lustenau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unterland Cavaliers than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EHC Lustenau than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Unterland Cavaliers - EHC Lustenau Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Lustenau could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Unterland will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Unterland won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Unterland won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unterland Cavaliers
Alps Hockey League
01.02.24	KAC II - Unterland Cavaliers	7:1 ✺
27.01.24	Unterland Cavaliers - Fassa	7:5 ✺
25.01.24	Kitzbühel - Unterland Cavaliers	4:3 penalties ✺
20.01.24	EHC Lustenau - Unterland Cavaliers	3:1 ✺
18.01.24	Unterland Cavaliers - Kitzbühel	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLLW
- EHC Lustenau
Alps Hockey League
03.02.24	Fassa - EHC Lustenau	6:7 ✺
01.02.24	EHC Lustenau - Kitzbühel	6:4 ✺
27.01.24	KAC II - EHC Lustenau	3:1 ✺
20.01.24	EHC Lustenau - Unterland Cavaliers	3:1 ✺
05.01.24	Cortina - EHC Lustenau	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Alps Hockey League
20.01.24	EHC Lustenau - Unterland Cavaliers	3:1
30.12.23	EHC Lustenau - Unterland Cavaliers	2:3
01.11.23	Unterland Cavaliers - EHC Lustenau	6:5 OT
01.12.22	EHC Lustenau - Unterland Cavaliers	4:5 OT
24.09.22	Unterland Cavaliers - EHC Lustenau	3:1

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