Match Info

NHL - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday

Location: Delta Center (Salt Lake City, UT)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Utah Mammoth		Vegas Golden Knights

	1	X	2
	2.4	4.1	2.5	Watch
	2.55	3.95	2.42
	2.51	4.3	2.44
	2.43	4.32	2.44
	2.4	3.9	2.3
	2.56	4.21	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (2.63)	4.13 ↑ (4.05)	2.43 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Utah Mammoth
38.2%

Draw
22.9%

Vegas Golden Knights
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

23.3%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

24.8%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Utah Mammoth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Vegas Golden Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utah Mammoth than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vegas Golden Knights than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Utah Mammoth - Vegas Golden Knights Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Utah will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Vegas will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Utah: 15.2% – 64.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
70. Vejmelka K. (G)	79. Hart C. (G)
52. Weegar M.	27. Theodore S.
98. Sergachyov M. (A)	3. McNabb B. (A)
67. Crouse L. (A)	16. Dorofeyev P.
8. Schmaltz N.	9. Eichel J. (A)
9. Keller C. (C)	49. Barbashev I.
Line 2
6. Marino J.	4. Andersson R.
88. Schmidt N.	15. Hanifin N.
11. Guenther D.	61. Stone M. (C)
92. Cooley L.	93. Marner M.
56. Yamamoto K.	21. Howden B.
Line 3
50. Durzi S.	6. Korczak K.
28. Cole I.	5. Lauzon J.
53. Carcone M.	55. Kolesar K.
15. Kerfoot A.	48. Hertl T.
77. Peterka J.	19. Smith R.
Line 4
13. Tanev B.	10. Sissons C.
82. Stenlund K.	26. Dowd N.
22. McBain J.	22. Smith C.
Substitutes
41. Vanecek V. (G)	33. Hill A. (G)
Coaches
. Tourigny A.	. Tortorella J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
04:27, Barbashev I. (2 min),
15:02, 0 - 1, Howden B. (G), Marner M. (A), Stone M. (A2)
19:58, Kerfoot A. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
04:01, Stone M. (2 min),
19:15, 0 - 2, Marner M. (G), Barbashev I. (A), Hanifin N. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 3)
07:41, 1 - 2, Yamamoto K. (G), Sergachyov M. (A), Weegar M. (A2)
09:39, 1 - 3, Sissons C. (G), McNabb B. (A), Korczak K. (A2)
11:54, Cooley L. (2 min),
12:09, 1 - 4, Marner M. (G), Theodore S. (A), Eichel J. (A2)
16:24, 1 - 5, Smith C. (G),
17:41, Andersson R. (2 min),

Preview

Vegas Golden Knights leads series 3-2. Sixth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Utah won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Vegas: Karlsson W. (Lower-Body Injury) Pietrangelo A. (Hip Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Utah won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 42:39. (average 3.2:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Utah won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 3.2:3.2).

Outrights of NHL for now

Vegas Golden Knights: 7.21% Utah Mammoth: 3.15%

Last Results with these Odds

Utah Mammoth - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 35.83%, but this team recently wins 47% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Utah Mammoth
NHL
29.04.26	Vegas Golden Knights - Utah Mammoth	5:4 OT ✺
27.04.26	Utah Mammoth - Vegas Golden Knights	4:5 OT ✺
24.04.26	Utah Mammoth - Vegas Golden Knights	4:2 ✺
21.04.26	Vegas Golden Knights - Utah Mammoth	2:3 ✺
19.04.26	Vegas Golden Knights - Utah Mammoth	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LLWWL
- Vegas Golden Knights
NHL
29.04.26	Vegas Golden Knights - Utah Mammoth	5:4 OT ✺
27.04.26	Utah Mammoth - Vegas Golden Knights	4:5 OT ✺
24.04.26	Utah Mammoth - Vegas Golden Knights	4:2 ✺
21.04.26	Vegas Golden Knights - Utah Mammoth	2:3 ✺
19.04.26	Vegas Golden Knights - Utah Mammoth	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
29.04.26	Vegas Golden Knights - Utah Mammoth	5:4 OT
27.04.26	Utah Mammoth - Vegas Golden Knights	4:5 OT
24.04.26	Utah Mammoth - Vegas Golden Knights	4:2
21.04.26	Vegas Golden Knights - Utah Mammoth	2:3
19.04.26	Vegas Golden Knights - Utah Mammoth	4:2
19.03.26	Vegas Golden Knights - Utah Mammoth	0:4
24.11.25	Utah Mammoth - Vegas Golden Knights	5:1

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