The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Västervik 26.5%
Draw 20.8%
Troja Ljungby 52.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.2%
21.6%
51.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.1%
23.9%
46.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Västervik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Troja Ljungby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Västervik than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Troja Ljungby than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Troja Ljungby, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Västervik - Troja Ljungby Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
01:48, 1 - 0, Stavlind E. (G), Aman L. (A), Kjellen S. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 3)
04:13, 2 - 0, Eriksson A. (G), Johannesson H. (A),
18:03, 2 - 1, Lindberg G. (G), Davidsson J. (A), Bernhardtz V. (A2)
18:57, 2 - 2, Myrestam E. (G), Stahl O. (A), Fransson M. (A2)
19:21, 2 - 3, Lindberg G. (G), Lindqvist Muci N. (A), Bernhardtz V. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
09:25, 2 - 4, Ek Koskela H. (G), Sjoblom L. (A), Stahl O. (A2)
14:05, 3 - 4, Torvfelt E. (G), Tenemyr J. (A), Lundman S. (A2)
19:59, 4 - 4, Wolf N. (G), Tenemyr J. (A), Carlsson J. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 1)
1, Lindberg G. (Penalty Shot),
1, Sirkka J. (Penalty Shot),
2, Lindqvist Muci N. (Penalty Shot),
2, Tenemyr J. (Penalty Shot),
3, Ek Koskela H. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Västervik won 0.
Västervik is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Troja Ljungby have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Troja Ljungby could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Bookmakers give the edge to Troja Ljungby for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Västervik has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 54:61 (averaging 2.7:3.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Västervik against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 25:24 goals (averaging 2.8:2.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
9
Troja/Ljungby
4
2
0
1
1
16:15
7
10
Vastervik
5
1
1
2
1
16:17
7
Last Results with these Odds
Västervik - the odds 3.31 are the expected chance of winning is 27.19%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.