Match Info

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday


	Vítkovice Steel		Motor České Budějovice

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.19	4.16	2.68
	2.21	4.15	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.21)	4.16 ↑ (4.15)	2.7 ↓ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vítkovice Steel
42.6%

Draw
22.6%

Motor České Budějovice
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

22.7%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

24.5%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Vítkovice Steel have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Motor České Budějovice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vítkovice Steel than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motor České Budějovice than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Vítkovice Steel - Motor České Budějovice Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 12th in the Promotion - Extraliga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 9th in the Promotion - Extraliga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vítkovice won 3.

Vítkovice is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

České Budějovice has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

České Budějovice could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Vítkovice has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 54:56 (averaging 2.7:2.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Vítkovice against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 30:35 goals (averaging 3:3.5 per game).

Outrights of Czech Extraliga for now

Ceske Budejovice: 1.74% Vitkovice: 1.31%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
9	Ceske Budejovice	9	4	0	1	4	23:28	13
13	Vitkovice	9	2	0	1	6	21:32	7

Last Results with these Odds

Vítkovice Steel - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 42.59%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vítkovice Steel
Czech Extraliga
11.10.26	Sparta Prague - Vítkovice Steel	3:0 ✺
09.10.26	Vítkovice Steel - Pardubice	2:3 ✺
04.10.26	Mountfield Hradec Králové - Vítkovice Steel	3:2 AET ✺
02.10.26	Vítkovice Steel - Energie Karlovy Vary	0:3 ✺
29.09.26	Olomouc - Vítkovice Steel	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLLW
- ČEZ Motor České Budějovice
Czech Extraliga
08.10.26	HC Plzeň 1929 - Motor České Budějovice	4:1 ✺
05.10.26	Motor České Budějovice - Kometa Brno	5:1 ✺
01.10.26	Sparta Prague - Motor České Budějovice	4:2 ✺
29.09.26	Pardubice - Motor České Budějovice	5:2 ✺
27.09.26	Motor České Budějovice - Verva Litvínov	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Czech Extraliga
27.02.26	Vítkovice Steel - Motor České Budějovice	5:4 OT
30.12.25	Motor České Budějovice - Vítkovice Steel	2:3 penalties
12.11.25	Vítkovice Steel - Motor České Budějovice	4:2
30.09.25	Motor České Budějovice - Vítkovice Steel	2:1
21.02.25	Vítkovice Steel - Motor České Budějovice	1:3
07.01.25	Motor České Budějovice - Vítkovice Steel	3:2
04.12.24	Motor České Budějovice - Vítkovice Steel	3:4

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